After trading the trend for a long time, you'll gradually realize a truth—trading is never about fighting the market, but about learning to follow the direction of the funds.
Thinking back to when I first entered the scene, who wasn't captivated by technical analysis? Indicators stacking layer upon layer, patterns becoming more and more detailed, always feeling that mastering one more skill increases the win rate. But it wasn't until later that I realized these flashy tools are useless in the face of true trends. If you get the direction wrong, no matter how sophisticated your analysis, it's all in vain.
The trend is everything in trading. Where the market is headed, that's where you should be. Don't fight the trend, and don't obsess over proving how smart you are. The big funds have already laid out the trend direction on the table; all we can do is follow the flow, not try to guess when the turning point will come.
The larger the cycle, the more genuine the trend—this is an iron law. Small-cycle fluctuations? That's noise, which can distort your mindset to an extreme degree. But the weekly and monthly charts represent the consensus of big funds. Ordinary traders forcing against the wind will only be repeatedly crushed in the end.
That's why I increasingly favor large-cycle trading—not because it's not exciting, but because there's too little noise. Less watching the charts, less fussing, makes it easier to hold positions and avoid being shaken out mid-way.
When a trend starts, don't get caught up in the details. What matters is the right direction, not every single candle being perfect. The more you scrutinize, the easier you are to be shaken out—this isn't rigor, it's self-destruction. As long as the main direction hasn't changed, small pullbacks are opportunities to get in. If you see it wrong, cut your losses and walk away—there's no need to overthink.
True trending markets have an astonishingly high tolerance for error. Even if you make a few mistakes, as long as you get the direction right in the end, the last leg of inertia will wipe out the costs. Trading becomes more and more straightforward over time—don't chase small fluctuations, don't switch strategies recklessly, focus on one main line at a time. The two key things to manage are: low cost of trial and error, and large profit margins.
In simple terms, trading isn't about showing off technical skills; it's about reading the trend. Those who truly understand trends will become more and more calm, operate less, and still find it easier to keep their money in hand.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 12-30 05:51
It sounds good, but I still often get jolted out... The cost of trial and error is easier to say than to do.
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FlyingLeek
· 12-30 05:50
That's so true. I only realized this after being fooled by technical indicators... I used to draw lines until my eyes were tired, and then a sudden crash would wipe everything out. Now I focus on the long-term cycle; less messing around actually leads to more stable gains.
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ProbablyNothing
· 12-30 05:50
There's nothing wrong with that; people who obsess over details end up paying tuition in the end. I'm now focusing on the weekly chart, taking fewer risks, and my mindset is much more stable.
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AirdropworkerZhang
· 12-30 05:41
That's right, messing around with indicators is definitely a trap that beginners often fall into; I've been caught too. However, false breakouts on larger timeframes are really common. When looking at the monthly chart, it seems to be trending, but then it gets absorbed by accumulation. What do you think about this kind of situation?
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DisillusiionOracle
· 12-30 05:39
That's so true. I was also caught by various indicators at the beginning, only to realize later that chasing perfect analysis is actually digging your own grave. The simpler, the more profitable.
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gaslight_gasfeez
· 12-30 05:28
Well, that's right. I used to indulge in endless charts as self-deception, but I later realized that going with the trend is the true way.
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EthMaximalist
· 12-30 05:24
This is exactly what I've been saying all along. That set of technical indicators should have been discarded long ago. Pursuing perfect candlesticks is just digging your own grave.
After trading the trend for a long time, you'll gradually realize a truth—trading is never about fighting the market, but about learning to follow the direction of the funds.
Thinking back to when I first entered the scene, who wasn't captivated by technical analysis? Indicators stacking layer upon layer, patterns becoming more and more detailed, always feeling that mastering one more skill increases the win rate. But it wasn't until later that I realized these flashy tools are useless in the face of true trends. If you get the direction wrong, no matter how sophisticated your analysis, it's all in vain.
The trend is everything in trading. Where the market is headed, that's where you should be. Don't fight the trend, and don't obsess over proving how smart you are. The big funds have already laid out the trend direction on the table; all we can do is follow the flow, not try to guess when the turning point will come.
The larger the cycle, the more genuine the trend—this is an iron law. Small-cycle fluctuations? That's noise, which can distort your mindset to an extreme degree. But the weekly and monthly charts represent the consensus of big funds. Ordinary traders forcing against the wind will only be repeatedly crushed in the end.
That's why I increasingly favor large-cycle trading—not because it's not exciting, but because there's too little noise. Less watching the charts, less fussing, makes it easier to hold positions and avoid being shaken out mid-way.
When a trend starts, don't get caught up in the details. What matters is the right direction, not every single candle being perfect. The more you scrutinize, the easier you are to be shaken out—this isn't rigor, it's self-destruction. As long as the main direction hasn't changed, small pullbacks are opportunities to get in. If you see it wrong, cut your losses and walk away—there's no need to overthink.
True trending markets have an astonishingly high tolerance for error. Even if you make a few mistakes, as long as you get the direction right in the end, the last leg of inertia will wipe out the costs. Trading becomes more and more straightforward over time—don't chase small fluctuations, don't switch strategies recklessly, focus on one main line at a time. The two key things to manage are: low cost of trial and error, and large profit margins.
In simple terms, trading isn't about showing off technical skills; it's about reading the trend. Those who truly understand trends will become more and more calm, operate less, and still find it easier to keep their money in hand.