2025-12-30 05:50:25

#数字资产市场动态 Liquidity turning point signals are here, institutions are accumulating in silence

Recently, I saw analysis about the Federal Reserve injecting $16 billion in liquidity. Combined with the on-chain data I track, it feels like the logical framework for a new wave of gains is emerging.

Why is this time different
The Federal Reserve is starting to loosen again. This is not an isolated event; it indicates that policy tone is truly shifting. Remember the massive liquidity injection during the 312 event that directly triggered the subsequent rally? This time, although the rhythm is different, the underlying logic remains the same—once liquidity starts to spread, asset prices will eventually follow.

What on-chain signals are saying
Two most obvious signals:

First, big players are quietly accumulating. Large addresses holding Bitcoin and ETH are increasing their holdings, but their balances on exchanges are decreasing, indicating smart money is lurking. Second, circulating chips are tightening. The proportion of long-term holders (LTH) is rising, and the amount of chips truly willing to be sold in the market is decreasing. Under these conditions, once buying interest appears, it can easily lead to a "skyrocketing" situation.

Short positions are actually very fragile
Perpetual contract funding rates are still neutral, but that’s meaningless. The key point is that short positions are too concentrated, all piled up at relatively high levels. Think about it—if Bitcoin quickly breaks through 43K or Ethereum surpasses 2.4K, those short stops will trigger one after another, creating a chain reaction of acceleration.

My thoughts
Don’t be scared by short-term volatility. Liquidity expectations, chip accumulation, and weak shorts—these factors stacking together mean this rally has sustained momentum. My own strategy is simple—continue holding spot positions, add on dips. In a bull market, truly profitable traders never chase frequent trades; they focus on the right chips and wait patiently. The rest is up to time and the market to verify.

BTC0,87%

ETH1,74%

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PortfolioAlert

· 6h ago

Here we go again, let's wait and see if this time it's really different or just the same story as yesterday.

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rekt_but_not_broke

· 8h ago

Institutions are quietly accumulating chips, while retail investors are still hesitating, hilarious --- The lesson from 312 hasn't been fully learned yet, and now liquidity is coming again --- Are the bears piling up at high levels? Then I'll just wait and watch the liquidation show --- People who can't hold onto spot assets shouldn't look at on-chain data, it's easy to break their mentality --- If 43K really breaks, these bears will cry to death, haha --- Liquidity is here, so there should be a trend? Why am I still losing? --- Big players are lurking, but that doesn't mean we can keep up; we still need to consider our own costs --- Damn, it's another story of "just be patient and you'll make money" --- We've been talking about tightening chips for half a year, when will it really take off? --- I just want to know, those who say holding will make you money, how are their accounts now

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MEVHunter_9000

· 8h ago

Institutions are quietly buying, while retail investors are still hesitating. This liquidity turning point is truly different this time. --- The 312 wave didn't quite match up, this time the rhythm is completely based on a different logic. --- The bears are concentrated at high levels, this is a ticking time bomb. --- Waiting with spot holdings is much more comfortable than watching K-line charts every day. --- The chips are locked in, just waiting for a fuse. --- The position data looks good, but I'm worried this might be another smokescreen by institutions. --- To put it simply, we're waiting for the Fed's move; everything else is just noise. --- I'll add on dips, the long-term logic is still there anyway. --- Perpetual funding rates are neutral, but the key is the chain reaction of short squeezes. --- I'm watching the 43K and 2.4K levels closely.

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ContractBugHunter

· 8h ago

Well... It's only a matter of time before the short liquidation is realized

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AlphaBrain

· 8h ago

Institutions are quietly accumulating coins, while retail investors are still debating whether to buy in. Why is the gap so huge? --- I also caught the wave of 312; this time it feels a bit like the previous one, but I dare not place too heavy a bet. --- The bears are concentrated at high levels. Once the support breaks and stop-loss orders explode, the scene is unimaginable. --- Just hold the spot, don't mess around with fancy tricks. The biggest risk in a bull market is frequent trading. --- Chips on the chain will speak for themselves. Big players are lurking; you're still trading on exchanges with leverage—what's your purpose? --- Liquidity is like a time bomb. When the Federal Reserve loosens, everything has to rise—there's no choice. --- The proportion of LTH is increasing, circulating chips are decreasing. If it doesn't rise soon, I'll just blow up my account. --- It seems calm on the surface but is actually turbulent underneath. Once that support breaks, it's over; bears simply can't hold on.

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DataOnlooker

· 8h ago

Institutions are lying in wait, retail investors are still hesitating, what a gap The bears should really be afraid, optimistic about this breakout Alright, I’ll just keep holding, anyway, those who are patient make the money I remember clearly the 312 event, it feels like history is repeating itself Tightening of chips combined with liquidity, who can withstand this combo punch? That makes sense, those who trade frequently get lost in the noise, still need to have faith Hold onto spot holdings, at worst, buy more on dips, the opportunity to bottom out in a bull market shouldn’t be missed

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