2025-12-30 07:00:11

December 31｜The Fed Policy Minutes: What's the Story

Don't hold out hope for a turning point; what we're seeing now are just confirmation signals, which won't change the overall situation.

The real details worth paying attention to are these:

**The Phrasing and Tactics**

Is the Federal Reserve starting to seriously discuss the timetable for rate cuts?
Do they genuinely acknowledge that inflation is decreasing, or are they still holding a backup plan?
Is there even a mention—just one sentence—about financial conditions being too loose or the risk of asset bubbles?

**How BTC and ETH React**

If the Fed's wording remains unchanged: BTC will continue to range sideways, ETH will follow with some swings, and the news will just amplify volatility.

If the wording leans hawkish: BTC is likely to quickly bounce back to key support levels, ETH will experience more intense fluctuations, and rebounds will be weaker.

If the wording leans dovish: BTC will first repair market sentiment, ETH's rebound might be faster, but essentially it's just a pullback with little momentum.

The key still depends on what the Fed actually says—implied meanings are often more important than the numbers.

BTC-0,1%

ETH0,14%

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ProtocolRebel

· 3h ago

The Federal Reserve is once again playing those empty, meaningless word games. In the end, it's all about what they actually say. The real meaning behind the words is the key; the numbers are just a distraction.

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MEVHunterBearish

· 3h ago

When will the Fed's mouth say something substantial? All these套路 talk are getting annoying. Honestly, I've been dozing off during BTC's sideways movement for so long. Let's wait until the Fed truly makes a decision. Even if the dovish stance comes, it's useless. Rebound after rebound, always the same套路, it's boring. ETH this wave is really uncomfortable. Following the trend, how much more can it rise? Feeling exhausted. The underlying message? I just want to hear a straightforward number, no need for all these twists and turns.

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FlashLoanLarry

· 3h ago

nah fed's just gonna talk their book again... "patience required" = we're holding rates til 2025 minimum lol

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SatoshiHeir

· 3h ago

It should be pointed out that your entire argument framework has a fundamental flaw — the Federal Reserve's wording game has long been priced in by the market. Still debating hawkish versus dovish is essentially like rowing a boat while trying to catch the sword.

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 3h ago

The Federal Reserve is about to talk big again. This time, can they stop pretending? --- Interest rate cut timetable? I see through it. They just pretend to be seriously considering it. --- The hawks are dead set. BTC is about to test the support level again. --- That little rebound in ETH, what momentum does it have? Just a bounce back. Don't deceive yourselves. --- The implied meaning is more important than the numbers, but I've seen through their tricks long ago. --- Sideways trading, still got to go through this cycle because of the Fed's mouth by the end of the year. --- Asset bubble risk? They won't mention it at all, and even pretend not to see it. --- Dovish language is the most dangerous, easily trapping the unsuspecting. --- Turning point? Just talk. It's only a confirmation signal. The situation is dead. --- BTC and ETH's reactions are just following the trend. The real traders are those FOMC members.

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LiquidationTherapist

· 3h ago

The Federal Reserve has that set, I've heard it repeatedly for ten years, BTC still has to support itself This time the minutes will definitely be ambiguous again, hawkish language pretending to be tough, dovish signals giving hope to crypto enthusiasts Let's wait for January's data; it's much more reliable than the minutes themselves --- What’s the timetable for interest rate cuts? It’s all a smokescreen; the real thing to watch is inflation data --- Hawkish signals lead to a direct plunge in BTC support levels, ETH is even worse, rebound is weak --- Instead of guessing what the Federal Reserve will say, it’s better to watch how on-chain whales are accumulating --- Turning point? Don’t dream about it, at most a rebound --- The message about amplifying volatility with news hits hard; it’s just to harvest the retail investors --- If BTC continues to range sideways, there’s no hope before the end of the year; wait until January to see

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