#预测市场 Prediction markets Kalshi has introduced a new gameplay. Recently, the market "What is the best AI by the end of 2025" has become popular, with trading volume exceeding $14 million. Interestingly, Gemini's probability of winning jumped from 30% at the beginning of the year to 86%, while ChatGPT's dropped from 41% to 8%. This reversal is quite surprising.

For us crypto enthusiasts, these prediction markets are essentially an interactive pool. Platforms like Kalshi require continuous participation and liquidity. When a certain prediction topic gains popularity, new incentives and activity spaces will emerge. It's recommended to observe first, to see if there are new user benefits or invitation tasks. Usually, when such hot topics appear, platforms will run some user acquisition activities.

However, note that prediction markets involve actual trading and settlement risks, and are not purely interactive gambling projects. Before participating, make sure to understand the rules and your risk tolerance—don't treat it as gambling. If you just want to ride the trend and do tasks, pay attention to whether the platform has promotional activities related to this topic. Sometimes, sharing or commenting can earn rewards.