#战略性加仓BTC Last fall, my cousin invested 5000U into the crypto market, and after three days, he was down to 3200U, with red eyes asking me, "Is my luck just that bad?" I reviewed his trading records and saw the problem at a glance—full leverage opening positions, chasing dips to add positions, repeatedly bottom-fishing—classic routines of "the coin was right, the account exploded."

After three months of exploration and learning painful lessons, he finally recovered his funds to 4800U. Not a windfall, but at least he can sleep peacefully. Today, I’ve decided to share everything openly—help one person if I can.

**First Trick: Capital Segmentation and Stop Loss**
Divide the principal into 5 parts, only use 20% each time, firmly set a 2% stop-loss line. This way, even five consecutive losses only amount to 10%, leaving room for a comeback. His first month’s trades were about 18 times, with drawdowns from the worst 35% down to under 12%.

**Second Trick: Follow the Trend, Don’t Rely on Belief in the Market**
In December 2023, when BTC’s daily EMA30 was trending down, I strongly advised him not to bottom-fish. He avoided the high of around 41,000 and avoided a -22% drop to 38,500. But his friend kept shouting "bottom-fishing," and got caught in a deadlock. Following the trend yields more reliable profits than shouting slogans.

**Third Trick: Don’t Chase Coins That Surge**
Coins that jump 250%-350% in three days tend to retrace 70%-85% in two weeks—that’s the routine of Ponzi schemes. When a MEME coin surged 380% in one day in December, he didn’t FOMO in, and five days later, it returned to the original price, keeping him safe.

**Fourth Trick: Read MACD Zero Line Signals**
Only consider going long when a bullish crossover occurs below the zero line; cut positions immediately when a death cross appears above the zero line. This method filters out about half of the false signals, increasing the win rate from 50% to 62%-65%, much more reliable than relying on intuition.

**Fifth Trick: Add on Profits, Don’t Averaging Down on Losses**
Add to winning trades every 10% increase; the more you add to losing trades, the deeper you sink. He used this method to grow his SOL profits to +32%, while others who kept adding to losing positions were still stuck at -18%.

**Sixth Trick: Volume Determines True Breakouts**
Low-volume rise at a low price indicates genuine capital inflow and breakout; high-volume stagnation at a high price suggests main players are offloading. During the massive breakout of APT in December, he followed with a small position, and when volume dried up the next day, he reduced his holdings, successfully avoiding a -10% correction.

**Seventh Trick: Layered Moving Averages for Navigation**
Use the 3-day MA for short-term swings, the 30-day MA for medium-term direction, the 84-day MA to monitor the main upward wave, and the 120-day MA for the overall trend. The price’s position relative to these MAs guides your actions—no more guessing tops or bottoms.

**Eighth Trick: Daily Three-Questions Review Method**
Ask yourself three questions: Does my logic still hold? Are the signals confirmed? Is my emotions controlling me? Keep a memo of your answers. After a week, review it and find that "emotional trades" account for 75%-80% of total losses, leading you to blacklist such behaviors.

Markets are always changing, opportunities wait for no one. To stay on beat and avoid confusion, the core is this set of combined strategies.