2025-12-30 07:23:41

LIT just launched, but the market's outlook on its future potential is changing.

Currently, $LIT 's FDV has already surged to $2.41 billion. Interestingly, the odds of it breaking the $2 billion valuation within a day, which a week ago stood at 85.5%, have dropped to 76.3%—indicating a clear loosening of buyer confidence.

What about more extreme targets? The probabilities of reaching $4 billion, $6 billion, or even over $8 billion have all significantly decreased. Previously, 23% of people believed it could surpass $4 billion, but now only 7% are still "taking a gamble."

It seems investors are gradually shifting from initial enthusiasm to rationality. The hype on the first day of launch was intense, but it couldn't prevent the market from re-evaluating the growth potential. These changes in prediction market data actually reflect the real-time mindset shift of retail investors—from "I'm optimistic" to "I'll think about it again."

LIT-42,2%

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SchrodingerWallet

· 5h ago

Another day, another story. Did it really drop from 23% to 7% and just disappear? Come on.

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WalletInspector

· 5h ago

Wow, dropped from 85% to 76% in no time... Retail investors are starting to panic. Really, no matter how hot the first day is, it can't save the fundamentals. The number of 4 billion people has been cut in half, this is a bit awkward. I said it, it was hyped to sky-high prices right after launch, isn't a correction inevitable? Wait... 7% of people are still betting on 4 billion? Brothers, your mentality is a bit ruthless.

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TokenomicsTinfoilHat

· 5h ago

85.5% drops to 76.3%, and confidence evaporates within a week? That's the true portrayal of retail investors, haha.

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LiquidityWizard

· 5h ago

tbh the 85.5% to 76.3% drop is statistically significant... actually, let me run the numbers—that's like 12% confidence evaporation in seven days. theoretically speaking, when your bullish bets crater that hard this fast, you're watching collective delusion pricing itself out in real time.

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CryptoHistoryClass

· 5h ago

ngl this is giving $LUNA chart patterns... confidence collapsing 9 days in? *checks historical playbook* yeah we've seen this movie before lmao

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GateUser-5854de8b

· 5h ago

Haha, dropping from 85.5% to 76.3%, this is the legendary "one-day trip" effect, right? Wait, still daring to bet 4 billion with 7%? This guy must be very optimistic. No matter how high the hype on the first day, it's all in vain; the market's prediction is the most honest. A typical chasing highs and getting trapped mentality, that's how retail investors behave. LIT this wave is a bit like that certain previous one... feels like it will sink for a while.

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