A few days ago, I was talking with a partner I've been working with for seven or eight years about market trends when he suddenly asked a question—
Could this be the last bull market in the crypto space?
His answer was quite straightforward. Once this cycle ends, he plans to gradually step back. The reason is very practical—opportunities are decreasing, and making money is becoming more difficult.
But my view is completely the opposite.
I believe crypto won't have no more bull markets; what truly disappears are just those outdated methods.
Looking at the past few cycles, you realize that the driving forces are just three things: sentiment, stories, and capital flow. As long as the story is compelling enough, whether the logic makes sense or not doesn't matter. Whether it's meme coin rotations or explosive projects, when one project ignites, the whole network follows and copies. But this mechanism can't survive for long; when everyone is playing the same game, it begins to decline.
What will happen next? It’s more like an evolved version of traditional capital markets.
The market’s evaluation standards are quietly changing—
No longer just looking at who tells the best story, but starting to ask some real questions: Is there genuine user demand? Can the project sustain revenue? Does it have real connections to the Web2 world? How many people are actually using it?
Junk coins and air coins will still appear, without a doubt. But their identities are now very clear—short-term speculative tools, no longer the trend of the era.
The recent MEME craze actually illustrates this point. No matter how sentiment is manipulated, it’s very unlikely to see another project like PEPE that becomes an overnight phenomenon. It’s not that luck has run out; it’s that the entire market is gradually maturing.
In recent years, the crypto space has given everyone enough time to make mistakes, learn, correct, and upgrade. The more pitfalls you’ve stepped into, the wiser you become. Maybe you’ve fallen once in the same place, but you won’t keep paying for the same mistake forever.
Just look at the performance of leading assets like BTC, BNB, and SOL—you can see the signs that capital is re-pricing their "true value," no longer just chasing sentiment.
So I prefer to see this as a dividing line. The crypto market is shifting from a sentiment-driven phase to an era of value filtering. Bull markets will definitely come again, but they will no longer cater to those who refuse to evolve.
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SchrodingerProfit
· 5h ago
To be honest, your friend's mindset is a typical bearish market mentality. True opportunities never disappear; they just take on a different form.
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FallingLeaf
· 5h ago
Your partner's ideas are really a bit negative; clearly, it's a shift in the trend, yet they treat it as the endgame.
But on the other hand, those projects that rely on storytelling to harvest investors definitely deserve to die.
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HashRateHermit
· 5h ago
Your friend's mindset is off; it's high time to face reality. The era of making money solely by telling stories is indeed over. Anyone still playing that old trick of counterfeit rotations will eventually be harvested.
It's already 2024, and you're still hoping for a miracle like PEPE? That's just wishful thinking. The market is indeed screening people; projects without real value support will eventually vanish.
It's a harsh truth, but this is the current situation. The recent rebound of BTC is essentially a revaluation of funds; the bullish sentiment is already dead.
Honestly, exiting the market isn't a bad choice; what's suitable for oneself is the key.
After this round, the landscape will change dramatically. Those who can't understand will only be eliminated.
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BlockchainFries
· 5h ago
I understand your partner's idea, but to be honest, it's a bit pessimistic. It's not that the bull market is gone; it's that the era of "storytelling to take off" is over.
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MetaMasked
· 5h ago
Your friend's thinking is a bit trapped. Do they really believe the wind will always favor them?
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Well said. The more pits you fall into, the wiser people become. But the problem is most people can't learn.
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The last sentence is brilliant. If you don't evolve, you'll be eliminated. This is the truth of Web3.
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That wave of PEPE definitely won't come back. The market has long been immune.
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I agree with shifting towards value screening, but honestly, right now, many people are still gambling on MEME.
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It's most regrettable that your friend, with seven or eight years of experience, can only think of retreating.
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Repricing real value with funds? Why do I still see a bunch of altcoins rising?
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So now is the time to get on board, after those unwilling to evolve have all run away.
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The performance of top assets indicates a problem, but what about those projects at the bottom? They're still just as bad.
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This wave of market will test people's cognition even more. In the past, it relied on luck; now, it requires brains.
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LayerZeroEnjoyer
· 5h ago
Your buddy wants to exit the market, but I actually think this is the best signal to get in.
I understand your friend’s quick retreat, but the logic seems reversed—could it be that a mature market and increased difficulty in making money actually signal fewer opportunities? It looks more like a gradual filtering of projects with real capability.
The absence of a second PEPE after PEPE doesn’t mean there are no opportunities; it’s just that the foolish meme-style rotations are truly dead. But who says it can’t explode in a different form?
Those coins that have survived after hitting rock bottom are now even more worth paying attention to.
A few days ago, I was talking with a partner I've been working with for seven or eight years about market trends when he suddenly asked a question—
Could this be the last bull market in the crypto space?
His answer was quite straightforward. Once this cycle ends, he plans to gradually step back. The reason is very practical—opportunities are decreasing, and making money is becoming more difficult.
But my view is completely the opposite.
I believe crypto won't have no more bull markets; what truly disappears are just those outdated methods.
Looking at the past few cycles, you realize that the driving forces are just three things: sentiment, stories, and capital flow. As long as the story is compelling enough, whether the logic makes sense or not doesn't matter. Whether it's meme coin rotations or explosive projects, when one project ignites, the whole network follows and copies. But this mechanism can't survive for long; when everyone is playing the same game, it begins to decline.
What will happen next? It’s more like an evolved version of traditional capital markets.
The market’s evaluation standards are quietly changing—
No longer just looking at who tells the best story, but starting to ask some real questions: Is there genuine user demand? Can the project sustain revenue? Does it have real connections to the Web2 world? How many people are actually using it?
Junk coins and air coins will still appear, without a doubt. But their identities are now very clear—short-term speculative tools, no longer the trend of the era.
The recent MEME craze actually illustrates this point. No matter how sentiment is manipulated, it’s very unlikely to see another project like PEPE that becomes an overnight phenomenon. It’s not that luck has run out; it’s that the entire market is gradually maturing.
In recent years, the crypto space has given everyone enough time to make mistakes, learn, correct, and upgrade. The more pitfalls you’ve stepped into, the wiser you become. Maybe you’ve fallen once in the same place, but you won’t keep paying for the same mistake forever.
Just look at the performance of leading assets like BTC, BNB, and SOL—you can see the signs that capital is re-pricing their "true value," no longer just chasing sentiment.
So I prefer to see this as a dividing line. The crypto market is shifting from a sentiment-driven phase to an era of value filtering. Bull markets will definitely come again, but they will no longer cater to those who refuse to evolve.