The market continues to brew opportunities amid volatility, and it's that time again to precisely identify key points.

There have been quite a few news developments in the past couple of days. Trump has once again launched an attack on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, publicly considering lawsuits and even openly stating the desire to dismiss him. On the surface, this seems targeted at Powell, who is about to leave office, but the underlying signal is clear — it’s about setting the rules for the next Fed Chair.

The deeper logic lies in the potential realignment of power between the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which are moving towards integration. This consolidation might delay risks for the increasingly enormous US debt monster, but it is by no means a fundamental solution. The crypto market is extremely sensitive to policy expectations, and such signals can directly impact market sentiment.

Meanwhile, the early morning talks between Trump and Israeli leaders also conveyed significant information. The Middle East situation remains a black swan risk — if Iran’s nuclear facilities or missile programs take action, the likelihood of military conflict rises. Such geopolitical uncertainties often increase volatility in risk assets, with the crypto market being the first to feel the impact.

In terms of market performance, these external shocks are already beginning to show. Yesterday, Bitcoin initially surged toward $90,000, then quickly retreated, repeating a previous oscillation pattern. Currently, overall market volatility remains limited, but there are signs of pressure testing and potential weakening signals. Today’s key window remains during the European and American trading hours. According to the principle of not establishing positions until key levels are broken, we need to observe the performance at critical points in the short term.

From a technical perspective:

For Bitcoin, the $86,500 level can serve as a reference point for bulls, with targets around $88,800–$89,000. If the price reaches this area but fails to break through, a bearish setup should be considered.

Ethereum and Bitcoin remain correlated, initially bullish but facing resistance. The recent support level is at $2,880, with resistance at $3,050.

The gold sector experienced a deep decline yesterday; today may see some emotional recovery, but no clear rebound signals are present yet, so it’s advisable to stay on the sidelines. Support is at 4,180, resistance at 4,430. For trading, consider bullish positions around the 4,300 area, with 4,420 as a reference for short entries.

Overall, policy uncertainties combined with geopolitical risks will continue to increase market volatility. Risk control and precise positioning are the core requirements at this stage.

Wishing everyone smooth trading.