2025-12-30 09:25:14

Recent on-chain data has released some interesting signals. The large holders controlling 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have been busy in December, continuously buying, with their accumulation trend score approaching 1. In contrast, small and medium investors are net selling—kind of like a reverse operation.

This kind of divergence is quite typical. Big players see the $80,000 level as a treasure to dig, while small and medium investors can't wait and start selling. From a market psychology perspective, this is a classic bottom signal. Large funds are highly sensitive; positioning at low levels often indicates something significant.

However, there's a painful part— the Fear Index has remained in the "Extreme Fear" zone for 14 consecutive days. The market is indeed playing out a panic scenario. Large investors are counter-trading in fear, while retail investors are accelerating their exit in fear, making the two lines increasingly clear.

BTC1,6%

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CryptoNomics

· 5h ago

actually, your correlation matrix here is backwards—whales accumulating during fear ≠ guaranteed reversal. seen this movie before, statistically significant? barely. classic survivorship bias masquerading as "on-chain signals"

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SmartMoneyWallet

· 5h ago

Large investors stacking 1,000-10,000 chips, in other words, lurking around 80,000... Retail investors are still cutting losses, hmm, the little guys never think there's enough. 14 days of extreme fear and still able to坚持逆操作, indeed not ordinary capital... But don't be fooled by bottom signals; there's still a lot of room for these data to be manipulated. Accumulation trend score approaching 1? Sounds good, but is the liquidity really there? Don't end up with a false prosperity. Whales are sweeping in fear, this old trick... The problem is, you need to have ammunition. In this capital game, big players always have a way to run first... Just don't blindly follow the trend. Human nature, fear and greed, cycle like this... On-chain data belongs on-chain, but in the end, it still depends on who has thicker chips. The 80,000 USD threshold, according to the data, but whether it's bottomed out or not, only time will tell.

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GhostWalletSleuth

· 5h ago

Whales bottoming out while retail investors are left holding the bag—this script is so cliché. --- Same old story, wait until I have 1000 BTC then talk. --- 14 days of extreme fear... my wallet is even more scared. --- Bottom signal? I don’t believe you, it’s just a signal to cut the leeks. --- Watching whales eat up the profits while I sip soup, and still worried there’s poison in the soup. --- Retail investors are fleeing because they have no money, not because of fear. --- Is this really the bottom this time, or is it another "wolf coming" story? --- Buying at 80,000 to bottom out equals regretting at 50,000 next year—50/50 chance. --- What’s so sensitive about big funds? They just have a few more zeros than us. --- The fear index is extremely fearful every day, but the index itself is flawed.

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TrustlessMaximalist

· 5h ago

Whales are bottom-fishing, retail investors are getting burned, this script is so cliché it's unbearable --- It's the same reverse operation trick again, someone always gets caught in the trap --- Is 80,000 really the bottom? I feel like it could go even lower... --- When the fear index hits the roof, that's when you should be most optimistic about your wallet. Don't fall for the tricks --- So the question is, should I follow the whales and buy the dip or just stay flat? --- The data looks good, but I'm still hesitant. Watching and waiting --- Are whales also acting? Who really knows what's real and what's fake --- Are retail investors really that stupid, or are they just out of ammunition... --- Extreme fear has lasted 14 days, it feels like something's about to blow --- Can on-chain data really be that accurate for judgment? I remain skeptical

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