Winter has arrived, but is spring far behind? What should those who lack short-term luck but suffer from short-term illness do?
Recently, institutional research departments released their 2026 crypto market outlook, which is quite interesting. They believe that the demand for value storage and a clearer regulatory framework are becoming dual driving forces behind the next cycle. From a macro perspective, government debt continues to rise, fiscal deficits expand, and concerns over fiat currency devaluation intensify—these factors are shifting investors' focus from traditional assets to crypto assets. In simple terms, more and more people are starting to think about how to hedge risks.
On the policy front, what’s even more期待 is the US crypto market structure bill. Although it got stuck in 2025, the momentum has now rebounded. Both parties are pushing for clearer federal rules on digital assets, and it’s expected that by early 2026, bipartisan support will be secured, leading to substantial progress. If this really happens, the industry’s "four-year cycle" model might need to be rewritten.
Following this logic, the valuation space in 2026 could open up, and Bitcoin prices are very likely to hit new highs in the first half of the year. Of course, this is a reasonable expectation based on current information; the actual development still depends on market changes.
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PermabullPete
· 5h ago
Haha, if you don't have short-term luck, do you also get short-term illness? I'm the patient myself, haha.
Regulation is becoming clearer, and this is indeed a variable. But on the other hand, whether the 26-year cycle can really be rewritten... depends on how quickly the US takes action.
Bitcoin hitting a new high in the first half of the year? Just listen, don't take it seriously.
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MetaverseVagrant
· 5h ago
Short-term illness can't be cured, you can only wait to die or buy the dip, haha it's uncomfortable
Wait, can the two parties really settle this by 2026? Feels like just talk on paper again
Sounds nice, but isn't it still betting on policies? Who can say for sure that the regulatory framework won't cause a sell-off once it comes out
Hedging risks sounds very heroic, but the key is having bullets in hand. The poor are still struggling with losses
Spring? I just want to know when the coins I hold will break even, don't talk about such distant things
Institutions say new highs in the first half of the year, I think it's doubtful. This bull market isn't that strong, it still needs to adjust
Having no short-term life but getting short-term illness, that's me. When prices go up, I want to go all-in; when they go down, I cut losses
Even if valuation space opens up, it’s useless. Retail investors always chase highs and kill lows, is this fate?
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fren.eth
· 5h ago
Winter? I'm still dreaming of summer, and now you're talking about pie in the sky?
Wait, bipartisan cooperation pushing for regulation? How absurd does it have to be to work, haha.
Short-term traders should have woken up long ago, really.
26-year high? If your approach is wrong, you'll still lose money.
A clear regulatory framework makes things even more boring, understand?
Starting to talk about macro hedging again? Said the same last year.
Bitcoin hitting a new high in the first half of the year... I bet five cents that’s not going to happen.
Debt rising and fiat currency devaluing, I’ve heard this line too many times.
This time really different? I don’t believe you.
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RektButSmiling
· 5h ago
No short-term success, yet every day is short-term trading. Isn't that just digging your own grave?
Bitcoin reaching a new high in 2026? Just listen, the key is to stay alive first.
Clear regulations make the competition even fiercer. Don't be too optimistic, everyone.
Spring has arrived, but you have to be alive to see it, haha.
I'm tired of the same old talk about soaring debt and fiat devaluation. The key is still having the courage to buy the dip.
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SillyWhale
· 5h ago
2026 New High? First, think about how to survive 2025
Short-term illness is truly a terminal condition. Everyone around me is like this, constantly all-in
The real opportunity is only after the regulatory boots land. Right now, it's all just stories
Bill progress? Uh... I've heard "expected" too many times. Believe it or not
Spring has come, but you have to live until spring. That's the real issue
Bitcoin hitting a new high? Then what should I do now...
Asset hedging is correct, but don't hedge all your wealth
Support from both parties sounds good, but I'm just worried it’s all "possible" and "expected"
If you don't have a short-term illness but suffer from one, then just dollar-cost average, it's hassle-free
Rising debt levels are indeed alarming, but can crypto save your life?
Winter has arrived, but is spring far behind? What should those who lack short-term luck but suffer from short-term illness do?
Recently, institutional research departments released their 2026 crypto market outlook, which is quite interesting. They believe that the demand for value storage and a clearer regulatory framework are becoming dual driving forces behind the next cycle. From a macro perspective, government debt continues to rise, fiscal deficits expand, and concerns over fiat currency devaluation intensify—these factors are shifting investors' focus from traditional assets to crypto assets. In simple terms, more and more people are starting to think about how to hedge risks.
On the policy front, what’s even more期待 is the US crypto market structure bill. Although it got stuck in 2025, the momentum has now rebounded. Both parties are pushing for clearer federal rules on digital assets, and it’s expected that by early 2026, bipartisan support will be secured, leading to substantial progress. If this really happens, the industry’s "four-year cycle" model might need to be rewritten.
Following this logic, the valuation space in 2026 could open up, and Bitcoin prices are very likely to hit new highs in the first half of the year. Of course, this is a reasonable expectation based on current information; the actual development still depends on market changes.