2025-12-30 10:22:21

Ethereum's recent movement is interesting. On the surface, it appears to be a consolidation, but in reality, it's a long-term symmetrical triangle—top touched and smashed, bottom touched and pulled. Over the years, the market has been repeatedly testing its bottom line. This isn't ordinary consolidation; it's a kind of "stress test" for the market.

Why does 2026 become a key node? Because that's when the next Bitcoin halving cycle will fully ferment, and a new market narrative will take over. Ethereum will either break through with an ecological explosion or be challenged by emerging public chains and lose its dominance. There is no gray area.

Once this long-term symmetrical triangle is broken, the scale of energy release could be terrifying. The question is—which side are you betting on? The probability of breaking upward toward a new all-time high exists, but a downward break back to the pre-altcoin season is also possible. How much can your position size, mental resilience, and leverage withstand in either direction?

From a deeper perspective, the market is waiting for a story. 2020-2021 was the era of programmable currency's imagination space. Now? Is it the industrial-level landing of DePin, or the autonomous economic system of AI Agents, or the full assetization of Ethereum's staking ecosystem? Without a confirmed story direction, the triangle is unlikely to truly break.

The advice for holders is quite clear: stop listening to those lullabies claiming "long-term holding will send you to the sky." What you need now is to develop a clear response plan.

There are two key points. First, keep a close eye on the upper and lower boundaries of the triangle. Once either side is broken, follow the trend and then verify the direction with data. Second, all positions during this period are essentially exploratory; keep enough ammunition in reserve for the market to choose its side. This isn't conservatism; it's about maintaining flexibility amid uncertainty.

The market's ultimate breakout often comes from this long-term suppressed release. In 2026, how the Ethereum ecosystem's story unfolds will be reflected in market prices. The current triangle is the final waiting before this vote.

ETH1,61%

BTC1,34%

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AllInAlice

· 6h ago

Damn, the moment the triangle breaks is really crazy. Wait, the story isn't even clear yet, why rush to go all-in. 2026 sounds so definitive, but it feels a bit like bluffing. Has DePin landed? I haven't seen any movement. This suggestion to probe the position is pretty good, but most people simply can't hold onto that kind of resolve. Suddenly remembered someone argued the same last year, and the result was... Betting on the upper or lower boundary, anyway, I will really cry the moment my stress test fails. Holding long-term like a lullaby haha, it's so damn real. Staring fixedly at the triangle's edge, I feel that's what should be done right now. The story isn't confirmed, and the price definitely has no answer, so just wait and see.

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DAOdreamer

· 6h ago

If this triangle really breaks out, I still bet on an upward breakout; the core is the landing of DePin. Honestly, sitting still until 2026 is useless; you need to take the initiative. Don’t talk to me about long-term holding, those are just scams for inexperienced people. Ethereum is now waiting for a real story, not those虚的 narratives. Position testing is underway, keep enough ammunition, and wait for the market to choose a side. This triangle feels like the market is testing someone’s psychological resilience. I think the probability of an upward or downward breakout is about fifty-fifty; the key depends on whether the ecosystem can be supportive. Don’t go all-in; at this stage, you should be smart, and staying flexible is the most important.

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BearMarketBro

· 6h ago

Wait a minute, how many people are really right about the triangle breakout, even if it sounds good? --- 2026, again a "game-changing" milestone... I've been hearing this kind of rhetoric for three years. --- Basically, it's still about whether the ecosystem story can be convincingly told, whether DePin and AI Agent will be implemented first. Otherwise, it's just self-delusion through technical analysis. --- I agree with saving ammunition, but most people can't do it. When prices really rise, they FOMO; when prices fall, they cut losses. --- Bro, your triangle analysis is good, but in terms of execution... haha, most retail investors can't withstand those few waves of counter-movement.

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AirdropChaser

· 6h ago

Whether the triangle breaks or not is still unknown, don't rush to jump to conclusions. 2026 sounds far away, but the story hasn't been fully told yet. To put it nicely, it's just a gamble on who will win. After so many years of stress testing, I'm already numb. This logic sounds very correct, but what about in practice? Don't make it so complicated, just wait for the news. I just want to know who can really hold up. The whole idea of position size is much easier to talk about than to actually do. Instead of studying the triangle, it's better to focus on new stories. DePin, AI Agent, which one is the real story? What if the ammunition runs out, how can we still catch the flying knives? Anyway, before 2026, it's all about trial and error, that's how I see it.

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DeepRabbitHole

· 6h ago

Everyone says to bet on a breakout, but when that time comes, who dares to go all in? --- 2026 still feels so far away, I'm already worried about short-term drops leading to liquidation. --- Symmetrical triangles are just traps; both sides can deceive you. --- Instead of waiting for a story, why not jump on the AI Agent hype now? That seems to be the next narrative. --- It's very clear, but honestly, most people simply can't do the step of "saving ammunition." --- Which side to bet on? I can't even tell which will win. --- Come on, teasing with tentative positions sounds simple, but once it drops, everyone wants to buy the dip. Who can resist greed? --- I have confidence in DePin; it feels more practical compared to AI Agent. --- It's basically waiting for the halving to shift the narrative. Right now, there's not much story to tell. --- Focusing on a specific level is correct, but to really execute it well requires extraordinary mental resilience.

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