2025-12-30 10:23:06

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released at 3 a.m. today, and market sentiment is clearly heating up. The latest data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January has risen back to 18.3%—a significant increase from last week's 15.5%.

Why is this number worth paying attention to? Simply put, a rate cut means increased liquidity. When interest rates decline, the yield on the dollar decreases, and funds naturally seek higher-yielding asset classes. The crypto market has always been sensitive to liquidity—this time, the minutes are likely to serve as an important reference for the market's subsequent direction.

In recent trading days, institutional investors have already begun to position themselves in advance. This is no coincidence. Once the Federal Reserve signals a more dovish stance, crypto asset valuations are likely to enter a new upward cycle in the short term. Of course, it ultimately depends on the specific wording of the minutes—every word could influence market expectations.

In any case, the next few hours are worth watching closely. This round of Federal Reserve movements could rewrite the rhythm of Q1 market trends.

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ChainChef

· 4h ago

liquidity's bout to simmer... let's see what the fed's cooking up at 3am, ngl

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rekt_but_not_broke

· 4h ago

At 3 a.m., I definitely can't sleep. Just waiting for the minutes to cause a dump or take off. Institutions are bottom-fishing while we're still hesitating—typical retail behavior, haha. The 18.3% probability is a bit optimistic, honestly. It all depends on how Powell phrases his remarks. Cutting interest rates = printing money = our opportunity. This logic makes sense. If the Federal Reserve really turns dovish, whether BTC can break new highs depends on this wave. After the minutes are released, there will probably be another riot. Be mentally prepared, brothers. Instead of guessing, it's better to go all in. Anyway, it will rise sooner or later. Waiting at dawn to be sanctioned or get rich—if it's a 50/50 chance, I'd choose to get rich. Once you understand liquidity, you can predict the market, but I'm still a rookie, haha. Can every word change your fate? Then my life must be worth a lot.

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YieldChaser

· 4h ago

Not sleeping at 3 a.m. just to watch the market, just to see what the Federal Reserve has to say? Fine, gambler mentality. Institutions have already sensed the trend; retail investors can only follow the crowd. That 18.3% probability doesn't sound too high, don't overthink it. Cutting interest rates = printing money = currency rising. Haven't played this logic many times before? Instead of waiting for the minutes, why not check what the on-chain data is saying?

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ProbablyNothing

· 4h ago

Institutions are all laying the groundwork, I have to stay awake to watch at 3 a.m. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is rising again. Can this wave break through the previous high... --- It's always like this with the Federal Reserve minutes, pulling at people's hearts repeatedly. --- The signal for liquidity entering the market is indeed strong, but the wording is very important; we can't be too naive. --- Let's wait and see, don't be fooled by institutions into jumping in. --- Not sleeping at 3 a.m., watching the minutes—that's the daily routine for Web3 people. --- That 18.3% probability is really hard to judge. --- The dollar's weakness is indeed a positive for us, but don't be too optimistic. --- It feels like the market at the beginning of the year is all about this wave. Go all in or wait and see.

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MoonRocketman

· 4h ago

Launch window at 3 a.m., fuel supply signal has been detected. The 18.3% figure indicates the market is recalculating escape velocity. --- All talk about being dovish on paper, but the key is whether the wording of the minutes can break through the neckline. --- Institutional pre-positioning? This is a signal that RSI is approaching the upper limit of the near-Earth orbit; be prepared to set stop-loss levels. --- Every word changes expectations. Listening to it sounds impressive, but calculating Fibonacci angles is more practical. --- Liquidity injection is indeed a necessary condition for a rocket launch, but don’t forget that gravity pulls back can happen at any time. --- From 18.3 to 15.5 and then to today, this wave of probability fluctuations itself reflects market hesitation. Better to be cautious. --- Federal Reserve minutes = countdown to launch. The candlestick pattern in the next few hours will determine whether it breaks through the atmosphere or makes an emergency landing.

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LiquidityWitch