Many people ask me how I can stay profitable in the crypto world for so long. To be honest, there's nothing mysterious about it; it's just about mastering a few simple rules.



For short-term trading, I mainly look at the 5-day moving average. If the price is above it, I hold; if it drops below, I cut losses immediately. For mid-term, I watch the 20-day moving average, with the same logic. It sounds simple, but sticking to this rule can help most people survive longer. The problem for many isn't the method being wrong but the execution being inconsistent.

When a major upward wave is forming, you should decisively enter when there's no volume. Continue holding as it gains volume and rises. If there's a pullback with decreasing volume but the trend hasn't broken, do nothing. The truly dangerous signal is volume dropping and breaking below the trendline, at which point you should consider reducing your position. This logic has never failed me.

If after entering a short-term position there’s no clear movement within three days, take profits if possible—don't fight floating losses. If you happen to buy wrong, once the loss reaches 5%, accept it unconditionally because that often signals a problem with your judgment.

There's an interesting phenomenon: if a coin drops more than 50% from its all-time high and continues to decline for over 8 days, it often marks a bottom area, and a rebound can come suddenly. Many of my gains come from catching these rebounds.

Bitcoin and other leading coins tend to rise the fastest during rallies and are also the most resilient during declines. Beginners often make the mistake of rushing in after a big drop or hesitating after a big rise. The real question is where to buy; the purchase price isn't about being as low as possible but about being as suitable as possible.

Always follow the trend; don't try to catch the bottom all the time. During a decline, don’t hastily judge that the bottom has arrived, and don’t hold onto coins that are already performing poorly. Trend trading is simple—you either follow it or stay away. There’s no third option.

Honestly, the hardest part isn't catching a wave but consistently making money. I often review my trades, asking myself whether my profits were due to luck or skill, so I can gradually build a stable trading system. Once the system is in place, it’s about repeating the process.

One last often-overlooked point: holding no position is also a strategy. When you're not confident, don’t trade. This can avoid many unnecessary losses. The primary goal of trading is survival, then profit. It’s not about trading frequency but about the success rate of each trade.
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MainnetDelayedAgainvip
· 4h ago
According to the database, this logic has successfully self-consistent over 1000 times since 2021.
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GasFeeBarbecuevip
· 4h ago
That's quite right, stop-loss is indeed the Achilles' heel for the vast majority. It sounds like you're talking about systematic trading, but few people can actually execute it. That 5% stop-loss really hit me; I always think it will rebound, but end up losing a lot. Is holding an empty position also trading? I need to remember this; too often I just can't sit still. I do fewer post-mortem reviews; next time I need to carefully consider the difference between luck and skill. I've never understood bottom-fishing clearly; how to judge what truly is the bottom. Leading coins are indeed more resilient; beginners are most likely to chase in during a 50% drop. Poor execution ability is really a major flaw; there are plenty of methodologies, but no one really sticks to them. The logic of dropping 50% from all-time highs is interesting, but the premise must be good coins.
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MEVictimvip
· 4h ago
Everyone's right, but there are not enough fingers to count the people who can actually do it. I'm one of those who can't, haha.
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RugPullAlarmvip
· 4h ago
It sounds good, but I want to see your on-chain address data. This theory sounds perfect, but in practice, most people can't actually implement it—especially that 5% stop-loss. Can you honestly say you always follow it? I have tracked the wallet flows of many "successful traders" and found that most of the funds are concentrated in a few whale addresses. Ordinary retail investors following the trend are basically being harvested.
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Degen4Breakfastvip
· 4h ago
Basically, it's a discipline issue. Most people fail because of execution problems. They think they understand, but in reality, they can't actually do it.
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down_only_larryvip
· 4h ago
To be honest, I've already tested this stuff a long time ago, and the key is really discipline. Don't be fooled by how simple he makes it sound; 99% of people fail because of their execution.
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