2025-12-30 10:27:53

There are always two voices in the market—some say the bull market is dead and we're now entering a bear, while others insist the bull isn't over, just adjusting. But if you ask me, the question itself is wrong.

Whether it's a bull or a bear, the most important thing is whether you can make money in this cycle. That is the only meaningful distinction.

The actual trading approach is quite clear. Recently, spot trading was easy, so focusing on spot was a solid strategy. But the environment has changed, and profit margins in spot trading are being squeezed, so it's time to flexibly switch to derivatives. The key is to stick to two lines: keep positions light and entry points precise. Many people aren't actually incapable of making money; their accounts show floating profits earlier on, but the problem arises afterward—once they start making gains, they lose patience and refuse to take profits in time, resulting in floating gains turning into real losses. That's the most painful part.

Rather than worrying about what cycle the overall environment is in, it's better to ask yourself first: are you living up to the current market rhythm? Is your strategy keeping up? Are you controlling your mindset? These are the real factors that determine your profits.

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DegenWhisperer

· 4h ago

That's right, you just need to learn how to read the market and adapt accordingly. --- The part about unrealized gains turning into realized losses really hit home; I have deep feelings about it. --- The last three questions are truly heart-wrenching; you need to ask yourself carefully. --- The key is mindset; some people simply can't control it. --- Now, obsessing over bull and bear markets is really naive. --- Precise entry points with small positions—easier said than done, brother. --- All the profits made earlier were just unrealized gains; staying cautious and taking profits is never wrong. --- If your strategy can't keep up, it's pointless; the environment changes so quickly. --- Instead of arguing about bull and bear markets, it's better to think about whether you've actually made money; I agree with this logic. --- The problem is that most people simply can't accept taking profits when things look good.

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RetailTherapist

· 4h ago

Unrealized gains are not in the bag, this is truly amazing, how many people have fallen here --- To put it simply, it's a mindset issue; making money is what counts --- A lighter position with precise entry points sounds simple, but it can raise blood pressure when actually doing it --- Bull or bear markets don't matter; what's important is whether you can survive to see the next cycle --- Switching between spot and derivatives trading with this theory is good, but actually applying it is really difficult --- That last sentence hits hard; most people fail because of patience --- Instead of studying bull and bear markets, it's better to study your own take-profit and stop-loss strategies --- Cash out to secure gains—these four words are easy to say but really hard to do

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FOMOSapien

· 4h ago

This statement is excellent, but it's really difficult to actually achieve. --- The part about unrealized gains turning into realized losses hit home; I always think it can be higher. --- The core is to lock in profits, it sounds simple but actually is hell to do. --- The problem is that market rhythm changes every day, how can strategies keep up? --- It's right, but who can really control their mindset? Anyway, I haven't been able to control mine. --- Flexible switching sounds easy, but actual operations are full of pitfalls. --- Those last three questions need to be asked to yourself a hundred times. --- Making money isn't about bull or bear markets; the problem is I lose on both sides.

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CommunityLurker

· 4h ago

You're right, it's really about whether you make money or not; don't get caught up in these illusions. The phrase "floating profit turns into real loss" hits home; too many people are like that. Using a small position at the precise level—just two simple words—kills a lot of people. The words may be rough, but the principle isn't; mindset is the biggest enemy. Now those obsessing over cycles haven't even figured out themselves yet. If you make money but are reluctant to exit the market, you need to address that problem. Instead of arguing about bull or bear markets, it's better to see if you can survive and come out alive.

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DaoGovernanceOfficer

· 4h ago

nah this is just survivorship bias dressed up as strategy tbh. empirically speaking, most people switching to derivatives when spot margins compress aren't making better decisions—they're just chasing volatility with worse risk management. the data actually suggests this is where accounts blow up, not where they thrive.

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