2025-12-30 11:00:27

#数字资产市场动态 Recently, the行情 of $BTC and $ETH has indeed been a bit frustrating.

The long-term logic has been laid out since 12.17, and there hasn't been much change (see Chart 2), mainly waiting for a clear trend to emerge. From a short-term perspective, we are currently stuck in a range between 866-903, repeatedly tugging back and forth, hitting both sides three times.

Here's the key—whether the fourth test breaks upward or downward, we need to start aligning with the right side. As for stop-loss? The fifth, sixth, and seventh attempts can all serve as stop-loss points. The one you didn't act on is almost certainly during a market surge or crash. That's right, the market eats this strategy, so each wave must be tested.

This middle position? No room for action, just hold cash and wait.

The rhythm of a bear market is like this—most of the time is spent resting, and real opportunities are not that frequent. I’m even thinking of just taking a break until the second half of next year, waiting for a real bottoming opportunity before making a move.

BTC1,34%

ETH1,61%

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LightningClicker

· 5h ago

The 866-903 range really keeps tormenting us repeatedly. It's better to just lie back and watch the show.

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HodlOrRegret

· 5h ago

Repeatedly clicking 866-903 really annoyed people, but to be honest, staying on the sidelines like this is still the right move. Wait for another opportunity.

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LightningSentry

· 5h ago

The sluggish market is really incredible. I'm just hanging around on the sidelines watching the show; anyway, this level of fluctuation can't really do much. --- It's another wait-and-see, maybe the real opportunity will come in the second half of the year. --- Honestly, now is the time to rest; don't be reckless and give back the profits. --- Fourth attempt at testing? I didn't even catch the third one right, so I might as well stay out of it to keep things simple. --- A bear market is a test of mentality; most people are still messing around. --- It aligns; let's wait until the real direction emerges. Right now, it's just adding burden to ourselves. --- This range is too trivial; rather than repeatedly cutting losses, it's better to just lie flat.

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CoffeeNFTs

· 5h ago

Going all-in to rest on this wave, I got it. The frustrating market really tests one's patience. --- Repeating the probing again, this time it feels like it's about to break. --- Wait, how do you know you'll miss that wave? It's so surreal. --- Lying flat in a bear market is the way to go. I also plan to stay calm for half a year. --- Repetitive tinkering between 866-903, I've even picked my nails to the point of bleeding. --- Setting the stop-loss at the seventh attempt is really ruthless. I'm afraid I won't be able to wait. --- Trying each time with a bit of a gambler's mentality makes sense, but it does have some logic.

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MEVHunterWang

· 5h ago

The tug-of-war in the 866-903 range is really annoying. It's better to stay out of the market and sleep peacefully. --- This stop-loss logic is perfect. Trying every wave just means losing every time. --- That's what a bear market is like. You can only make money by staying idle. --- Thinking about bottoming out in the second half of next year? I feel like I need to wait a bit longer. --- The time when I didn't operate was indeed the easiest to cause a big surge. I've realized that. --- Is it good or bad that the long-term logic hasn't changed? --- During this period of staying out of the market, it's better to research new projects. --- I've heard this set of theories tested four times, but only a few can actually be executed.

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QuorumVoter

· 6h ago

Grinding is really exhausting, I especially understand the feeling of this repeated tug-of-war... But as for the idea of resting until the second half of next year, I have to say, it requires a lot of discipline. --- It's the same old story: the less you move, the more you earn. This time, I really have to hold back. --- Huh, I looked at the 866-903 range for a long time but still don't dare to act. I feel the next wave of testing might explode. --- Holding a vacant position sounds simple, but in practice, it's really difficult. Every time I want to catch a small wave. --- It would be great if I could predict which way the fourth test will go, then I wouldn't have to wait for the fifth, sixth, or seventh. --- A bear market should be played like this—peace of mind and saving money. Continuing to observe.

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