A recent analysis discussing whether PEPE can reach 1 cent has sparked heated discussions in the community, with everywhere shouting "Break 1 cent." Some have already started calculating potential double-digit returns, and FOMO sentiment is clearly rising. But let's not rush; let's calmly examine what is really behind this wave of news.

My five years of experience in crypto trading tell me that most people haven't actually understood the essence of price movements—that is, the game between supply and market structure. Many get caught up just by the headlines, ignoring the most critical prerequisite.

Let's look at some key data. PEPE is currently trading around $0.000004, with an RSI reading of 43.5. This figure is quite telling—it hasn't entered overbought territory nor become excessively oversold, a typical "wait-and-see" characteristic. Support and resistance levels are both concentrated at the same $0.000004 price point. In this situation, the market is like a stretched bow, waiting for a clear trigger signal.

Someone asked if this analysis is that signal. My answer is: somewhat, but not strong enough. Why do I say that? First, this article is essentially a predictive analysis, not an actual positive development from the project team. What can truly drive a big trend are substantial upgrades or ecosystem implementations—real tangible progress—while community hot topics clearly lack weight. Second, the overall market is in a consolidation phase, with cautious sentiment prevailing. Relying solely on a community topic is unlikely to attract major capital inflows.

This is not to say that opportunities don't exist, but that at this stage, we need more patience.