2025-12-31 01:20:35

Several sobering observations about the current state of BTC:

First, the trend indeed looks a bit dangerous.
Second, but it’s not actually in a real decline.
Third, the entire market’s positions are betting on it dying.
Fourth, the market’s favorite thing to do is to completely reverse such one-sided positions.

The monthly chart maintains higher highs and higher lows — a sign of strength. What is the true bear market signal? A close below 74K. So far, this has not happened.

The more aligned the positions are, the greater the risk. When everyone is in the same boat, the market often makes the most uncomfortable choices. BTC’s performance tells us that contrarian thinking is always the core logic of trading.

BTC1,14%

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ser_ngmi

· 5h ago

Honestly, I was most afraid when the entire internet was shorting BTC... history always teaches us this lesson over and over again.

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HodlTheDoor

· 5h ago

Haha, when everyone is shouting death, that's often the time to turn things around.

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nft_widow

· 5h ago

Well said, the higher the consistency, the easier it is to be counterattacked. We're all waiting for that slap.

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NervousFingers

· 5h ago

There's nothing wrong with that. Right now, it's a psychological battle. When short sellers flood the market, it's often a signal to turn the tables.

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pumpamentalist

· 5h ago

Basically, it's waiting for the group of short-sellers to get liquidated. Once the 74K level is broken, then it's truly a problem. The more shorts there are, the more dangerous it is, brother. This is the rhythm of reverse shorting. The monthly chart still shows high points and low points; why follow the trend and short? I just watch these people get reversed. One-sided positions, the market loves to mess with you like this. This time, they might just slap their own face again. Everyone's betting on death, which actually means the probability of survival is higher. This logic is rock solid.

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0xLostKey

· 6h ago

Ha, consistently bearish and then suddenly surges, this trick is always effective every year.

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