2025-12-31 02:27:30

Gold retreated after yesterday's rally, forming an inverted T-line, which indicates a deep shift in the strength between bulls and bears. Market volatility is everywhere, and the real test is whether you can accurately capture those critical moments that determine reversals.

The rebalancing of Federal Reserve policy expectations is quietly driving market changes. US Treasury yields have rebounded in the short term, non-US assets are generally under pressure, and bullish momentum in gold is noticeably weakening. As buying power diminishes, profit-taking follows, and the daily inverted T-line pattern is thus born—an intuitive signal of weakness.

From a daily chart perspective, the previous large bearish candle directly broke through the short-term moving average support, confirming the trend's shift from strong to weak. Yesterday's rebound lacked the continuation needed to confirm a reversal; short-term moving averages are beginning to turn downward and diverge outward, with candlesticks consistently suppressed below the moving averages. A short-term correction is likely to continue, and the effectiveness of the 4300 support line will determine the future direction.

On the 4-hour chart, a clear downtrend with consecutive declines is visible, with prices being firmly suppressed by short-term moving averages from start to finish, clearly showing weakness. The rebound's recovery strength remains limited, with little room for further correction.

Although there are initial signs of stabilization in smaller cycles, and short-term moving averages are gradually turning upward, providing an opportunity for technical rebound and correction, under the broader weak framework, the strength of this rebound will inevitably be limited. After the rebound, a pullback under pressure remains the main expectation.

**Trading Strategy**

Short positions: Gradually build positions around 4390-4400, with a stop loss at 4405, and targets sequentially at 4350-4330-4300.

Long positions: Enter gradually around 4330-4340, with a stop loss at 4320, and targets at 4380-4385-4390.

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MetaEggplant

· 5h ago

The death cross is back again, and this wave is as weak as the previous two times. --- Breaking 4300 is the key, I bet it will break. --- The Federal Reserve is causing trouble again, longs deserve to be cut. --- The rebound recovery is limited... Basically, it still has to go down. --- Longs at 4390 are well prepared, just waiting for this rebound to slap in the face. --- The moving average resistance is so obvious, going against the trend to buy longs is so inflated. --- It's another pullback under pressure, the tricks are all played out, and people are still chasing the rally. --- Can the 4330 level really hold? I have my doubts. --- Talking about a rebound in a weak framework, stop-losses need to be tight. --- When US bond yields rebound, gold has to kneel; the logic is simple and brutal.

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ProofOfNothing

· 5h ago

The doji line, to put it simply, means the bulls are losing momentum. It's the Federal Reserve and yields again; I'm tired of this rhetoric. The key is whether we can hold above 4300. I've already taken a short position at 4390, just waiting for it to drop. Let the short-term moving averages turn around; the real framework is the long-term bearish trend. Every rebound is an opportunity to distribute. With the moving averages so strongly suppressing, who would dare to take over the position?

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MevHunter

· 6h ago

The death cross is really just the gallows for the bulls. --- Once the moving averages suppress again, I just want to know if 4300 can hold. --- When US bonds rebound, gold cries. I'm tired of this routine. --- Want to rebound under the short-term weak framework? Dream on, buddy. --- Enter short at 4390. If this wave breaks 4300, we'll be taking profits. --- Still daring to bottom fish with such a strong 连阴? I wouldn't dare to move. --- It really looks like there's no room for recovery; we need to wait until 4330 to consider entering. --- The buying momentum of the bulls is truly waning; it's time to shift.

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OnlyOnMainnet

· 6h ago

The inverted T-line is here again, is it really a weak signal this time? I feel like I say that every time --- If 4300 can't be held, see you at 4280? --- U.S. debt rebounds and gold suffers, I'm tired of hearing this logic --- Short order 4390 to open a position? The courage is really big, and the stop loss is only 15 points --- The chance of rebound repair is limited... That's no chance, just look at the bearish --- This wave of market feels like a repeated pancake between 4300-4400, and whoever can accurately buy the bottom is the real buddy --- If the short-term cycle turns upward, will it fall under pressure? It's a bit paradoxical, friend --- Is this a sure or a guess for a long buying recession, give me a data --- I hate looking at pictures and talking the most, and I want to know where the gold will go in the next week --- It's a moving average and a cycle, and technical analysis is old-fashioned --- More than 4330 single lot, stop loss 4320, just 15 points of space, can this really be earned?

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