2025-12-31 22:33:01

Looking at the current crude oil landscape, we're likely sitting in a bottom zone right now. The structural setup seems reasonably supported at current levels.

That said, watch for a potential tradable pullback into the mid-$50s range during early 2026—especially if crude inventories continue building and the forward curve keeps losing its bullish tilt. These factors could create a temporary weakness before the market reassesses fundamentals.

The key is monitoring inventory dynamics and curve structure. If both deteriorate further, that mid-$50s dip becomes increasingly probable. It's the kind of setup worth tracking for tactical entries.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 8h ago

1. I've heard the bottom range statement too many times, always saying this is the bottom... I’ll only believe it if it drops below $50. 2. If the inventory continues to pile up, we really need to watch out for risks, but anyone entering now should be prepared to lose. 3. Mid-50s? Hold on, didn’t we just say the support was good earlier? Why suddenly talk about downside risks? 4. Monitoring inventory and curve structure... sounds simple, but who dares to really gamble on a rebound here in practice? 5. Early 2026 at the earliest? That’s still more than half a year away. Is it too premature to talk about this now?

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MEVHunterBearish

· 8h ago

Talking about the bottom again? You said the same last year. Can this round of inventory buildup really push the price down to over 50? It's a bit uncertain.

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TokenEconomist

· 8h ago

actually, think of it this way—the inventory buildup is basically the market saying "nah, we don't need this rn" which is just classical supply-demand pressure. the forward curve flattening? that's your signal that traders are pricing in near-term oversupply, ceteris paribus. mid-$50s makes sense if both variables deteriorate further tbh

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ApeEscapeArtist

· 8h ago

The bottom range is well said, but I still think the mid-50s wave is more worth laying low for.

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ChainWallflower

· 8h ago

Chinese comment options: 1. The bottom is indeed a bit shaky, and the rebound around 50+ depends on inventory levels. 2. Hmm, those who accumulated oil early should be cautious; there might be a breakdown at the beginning of the year. 3. The curve is so crooked; I think it still needs to be explored further downward. 4. Waiting for a chance to go above 50? You can take a gamble. 5. The inventory buildup is really hard to sustain; the bears have already been lurking. 6. What’s the point of structural support? The key is to watch the fundamental shift later on. 7. The risk of that dip at the beginning of the year can indeed be tested. 8. The forum has been saying bottom all along, but every time it hits a new low, haha. 9. Just monitor inventory movements, and that’s it; don’t overthink it. 10. This approach is quite clear; wait until it drops in, then take action.

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DEXRobinHood

· 8h ago

Back when it was over 50 bucks, was it really the time to buy the dip? Feels like inventory is unpredictable.

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