US unemployment data is relatively moderate, with an 88% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January

2026-01-08 13:44:08

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【Blockchain Rhythm】The latest U.S. unemployment data has been released. The data published on January 8th shows that for the week ending January 3rd, the number of Americans filing for initial unemployment benefits was 208,000, slightly below the expected 210,000, and the previous figure was revised from 199,000 to 200,000.

After this data was released, market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next move also changed. According to CME’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is only 11.6%, while the probability of holding rates steady is as high as 88.4%. In other words, the market is now betting that the Fed is unlikely to continue easing in the short term, which will impact liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market.

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MysteryBoxOpener

· 01-08 14:07

88% leverage rate hike, liquidity will become tight. It's time to carefully hold onto your coins. --- The Federal Reserve is playing hard with this hand. Is the crypto market about to shrink? --- Wait, so the fact that unemployment data is so mild actually means inflation isn't as urgent? Feels a bit like a slap in the face. --- So that's why yesterday's drop was so severe; the market had already known. --- 88% remains unchanged... It seems like we won't be able to relax in the coming months, and we should wait to buy the dip. --- A fake move; this is actually what the Federal Reserve truly intends to do. --- What does poor liquidity mean? Crypto newcomers should get ready. --- Slightly better unemployment data is actually worse because it gives hawks an excuse, understand?

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notSatoshi1971

· 01-08 14:02

Lu Xun said it well: not moving is the best move. The Federal Reserve's 88% probability is telling us that in the short term, don't expect to lie back and count money.

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MultiSigFailMaster

· 01-08 13:59

Oh no, the same story again? The Federal Reserve has held back, and liquidity in the crypto market is about to be choked again. --- 88% chance of no rate cut, things are cooling down now, no hope for loosening in the short term. --- Unemployment data looks good, but the Federal Reserve still remains unmoved, truly impressive. --- Wow, this ratio, the market has long accepted the fate, waiting to be trapped. --- The liquidity shrinkage was expected long ago, now just waiting for a rebound. --- The Federal Reserve is really timid, they act as if nothing happened whenever the data is slightly better. --- 88.4%... Honestly, these positive signals can't even shake the market.

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LiquidityWhisperer