Analyst Helen McCaw, who comes from the Bank of England, recently raised an interesting topic—how would the market react if the government suddenly announced some major news?
She believes it would be very grim in the short term. Investors are likely to sell off Bitcoin and high-risk assets to raise cash. This is easy to understand—when in urgent need of money, sell the easiest assets to liquidate. But this is only a surface reaction.
The truly interesting part is the long-term logic. Once institutions lose confidence in the traditional financial system, they might instead turn their attention to decentralized assets like Bitcoin. Why? Because its scarcity is fixed and cannot be changed. In comparison, gold becomes awkward—if space mining technology really takes off, gold supply could double, which would significantly undermine its store of value properties.
So this is not just an emergency contingency plan issue, but also involves the redefinition of the role of the entire crypto asset ecosystem in the face of market upheavals.
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TopBuyerBottomSeller
· 01-19 21:55
Short-term sell-off, long-term rebound. It's the old trick; the key is who can hold on until that moment.
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GasOptimizer
· 01-19 21:54
Short-term selling pressure reverses in the long run. I have calculated this logic, and the data supports it. The key point is that the supply curve is fixed—gold loses here.
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WhaleInTraining
· 01-19 21:49
Short-term sell-off, long-term rebound, just the old trick
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Gold will be replaced by space mining haha, the fixed scarcity of BTC is truly unbeatable
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Sounds good, but when the crisis really hits, won't everyone just run away
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Institutions lose confidence and then turn to crypto? Overthinking it...
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Why do I feel something's off with this logic
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Suddenly reminded of the previous black swan events, the market reaction was indeed this disastrous
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Fixed scarcity vs. gold supply doubling, an unbeatable comparison
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HodlTheDoor
· 01-19 21:37
Short-term sell-off, long-term turnaround. I know this routine too well haha
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Wait, space mining for gold? That dream is a bit far-fetched...
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When institutional confidence collapses, BTC actually takes off. It sounds reasonable, but who dares to buy the dip when that moment comes?
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The scarcity is truly absolute. If gold were to be mined out, it would be disastrous.
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The real issue is when a black swan event occurs. In that moment, when cash is king, who cares about decentralization?
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Long-term, the logic is indeed sound, but can we hold on in the short term?
Analyst Helen McCaw, who comes from the Bank of England, recently raised an interesting topic—how would the market react if the government suddenly announced some major news?
She believes it would be very grim in the short term. Investors are likely to sell off Bitcoin and high-risk assets to raise cash. This is easy to understand—when in urgent need of money, sell the easiest assets to liquidate. But this is only a surface reaction.
The truly interesting part is the long-term logic. Once institutions lose confidence in the traditional financial system, they might instead turn their attention to decentralized assets like Bitcoin. Why? Because its scarcity is fixed and cannot be changed. In comparison, gold becomes awkward—if space mining technology really takes off, gold supply could double, which would significantly undermine its store of value properties.
So this is not just an emergency contingency plan issue, but also involves the redefinition of the role of the entire crypto asset ecosystem in the face of market upheavals.