According to Polymarket prediction markets, there's roughly an 18% probability that the proposed Trump administration tariffs could be implemented as early as February 1st. The crypto prediction market has been actively pricing in this policy scenario.
Market analysts are closely watching this development. The timing matters—if tariffs kick in on that date, it could shift capital flows and create ripple effects across both traditional and digital asset markets. Sevens Report Research has been tracking these policy discussions, noting the market's current assessment of implementation odds.
For traders monitoring macroeconomic catalysts, this represents one of the key data points to watch in early 2025. Prediction markets like Polymarket continue proving their utility as leading indicators for policy outcomes.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
15 Likes
Reward
15
8
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
GasFeeLady
· 1h ago
ngl 18% feels low given how fast things move these days... been watching the gwei spikes every time there's political chatter. optimal window for positioning might close faster than polymarket's predicting tbh
Reply0
gas_fee_therapy
· 1h ago
18% chance? That probability is low enough to make me a bit reassured, but also a little uneasy...
View OriginalReply0
CoconutWaterBoy
· 6h ago
An 18% chance? Feels like the folks at Polymarket are playing the numbers game again... Anyway, it's all just guesses.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSurvivor
· 6h ago
18% probability... To be honest, that's a bit low. It seems the market is still on the sidelines.
View OriginalReply0
VirtualRichDream
· 6h ago
18%? That's too low of a probability. It still feels like the market doesn't quite believe that this time they can really act so quickly.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityLarry
· 6h ago
An 18% chance? Feels like traders are overhyping it.
View OriginalReply0
ProtocolRebel
· 6h ago
18%? I don't quite understand this probability. Does it mean there's hope or is it basically a no-go?
View OriginalReply0
DustCollector
· 7h ago
An 18% probability? The market still seems a bit optimistic; the key is whether it can really be implemented on February 1st.
According to Polymarket prediction markets, there's roughly an 18% probability that the proposed Trump administration tariffs could be implemented as early as February 1st. The crypto prediction market has been actively pricing in this policy scenario.
Market analysts are closely watching this development. The timing matters—if tariffs kick in on that date, it could shift capital flows and create ripple effects across both traditional and digital asset markets. Sevens Report Research has been tracking these policy discussions, noting the market's current assessment of implementation odds.
For traders monitoring macroeconomic catalysts, this represents one of the key data points to watch in early 2025. Prediction markets like Polymarket continue proving their utility as leading indicators for policy outcomes.