The threat of Quantum Computing to Bitcoin may be delayed until the late 2030s

Recently, the founder and CEO of a well-known investment company stated that their team has been closely monitoring the development of related technologies in the discussion of whether Quantum Computing will threaten the Bitcoin ecosystem. Although there have indeed been breakthroughs in the field of Quantum Computing, the current progress is still relatively slow. The company's chief futurist believes that even if quantum technology ultimately poses a threat to Bitcoin, such a situation may not occur until the late 2030s or even the 2040s.

The CEO pointed out that the main reason for the delayed potential impact of Quantum Computing on Bitcoin is the rapid development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology. The speed of AI advancement has far exceeded expectations, and there is currently no obvious performance ceiling. As computational power increases, AI performance continues to improve, while costs are also rapidly declining. Many goals that were originally thought to require Quantum Computing to achieve can now be accomplished through AI.

In this trend, capital is likely to continue flowing heavily into the AI field, rather than hastening the development of Quantum Computing. This investment tendency will further delay the time when quantum technology poses a real threat to the security of Bitcoin.

Overall, while the development of Quantum Computing technology is worth paying attention to, it seems unlikely to pose a direct threat to the Bitcoin network in the short term. At the same time, the rapid advancement of AI technology may have somewhat diverted investment and attention away from Quantum Computing, thereby providing the Bitcoin ecosystem with more time to address potential quantum challenges.