How Long Does Altseason Usually Last?

This is one of the most controversial questions in the crypto market. In fact, many investors wonder about this not out of pure curiosity, but because of the concern: "Selling too early means losing profits, selling too late means becoming exit liquidity." To answer this, let's review the data from previous cycles to find a "Compass" for the future. 🔸 Altseason – The Side Product of Human Greed Read the title above carefully, and you will understand the essence of altseason. Altseason does not occur in the early or middle stages of the cycle, when Bitcoin still dominates the spotlight. On the contrary, it usually explodes in the later stages, after BTC has broken through the previous peak (ATH) and attracted global media attention. This is the time when retail investors (retail) flock to the market, drawn by the "cheap" altcoins with the illusion that they can become millionaires in just a few days. Observing the BTC Dominance chart (BTC.D), we will see a clear correlation: when BTC surpasses ATH, BTC.D usually starts to decline sharply – a signal that funds are leaving BTC to seek higher profit opportunities in altcoins. 🔸 ETH/BTC – Important Signal for Altseason A very strong indicator to determine altseason is not only the decrease of BTC.D but also the breakout of the ETH/BTC pair. These two factors often move in opposite directions. Looking back at the last 2 cycles: ETH/BTC when entering the parabolic uptrend has rapidly pulled up all altcoins. Notably, this parabolic cycle lasts about 40 days – which is less than 2 months. In the illustrative chart, the blue/red area shows ETH going parabolic, while the black line (OTHERS) represents the "pure" state of the altcoin market – all surging within a short period. 🔸 "So Does That Mean There Are Only 40 Days to Make Money?" Not necessarily. If we closely observe the OTHERS chart, we see that from the time it broke out of the accumulation zone until it reached the expanded peak, this process lasted about 500 days. This means that if you entered a position during the accumulation phase (, which typically occurs about 4–6 months before the halving ), then the profits will extend throughout the entire bullish cycle, not just confined to the "40 golden days". Current data shows that the altcoin market may have escaped the accumulation zone. If historical patterns repeat, the altcoin peak could occur around Q1/2025 (, although it is important to note that an earlier peak cannot be ruled out ). 🔸 Conclusion: Don't Just Keep Asking "How Long Will Altseason Last?" That approach can easily make you obsessed with "taking profits at the peak" – something that is almost impossible – and ultimately sell too late. Instead, it is important to position yourself earlier than the crowd, and then monitor the key signals: When BTC breaks the old ATH. When BTC Dominance starts to decrease. When the OTHERS index goes parabolic. When ETH/BTC surpasses resistance and leads the market. These are 4 important factors that help you know when to raise your vigilance and plan your selling strategy. And remember: retail will never care about "closing large candles below important support levels". They only buy according to FOMO and become exit liquidity for those who have prepared thoroughly in advance. 👉 In summary, instead of worrying about how many days the altseason will last, focus on preparing from the accumulation phase and closely monitor the market indicators. That is the way to ensure you are not left behind.