The CLARITY Act may fail to become law this year if it doesn’t pass committee by the end of April, according to Galaxy Digital research. The main battle is over stablecoin rewards, which banks say could drain deposits from the banking system.
Polymarket odds of passage have dropped to 56% from 82% in February. This growing uncertainty has DeepSeek AI modeling what happens to the XRP price and the Solana price if regulatory clarity remains elusive
XRP Price Analysis: Technicals and Outlook
The XRP price, based on the 4-hour chart, is trading at around $1.4178, stuck in a tight range, with support at around $1.37, going up to a resistance band of between $1.50 and $1.55.
Source: CoinAnk
The RSI is showing a clear indication of momentum awakening but not overextended, with the fast RSI at 66.30, the medium at 61.32, and the slow RSI at 56.47. The volume is at around 11.88 million, way lower than the forecasted 52.88 million.
If the CLARITY Act does not materialize, the XRP will most likely stay stuck in a regulatory gray area, with the price action ranging widely. Having the OCC charter and over 70 licenses worldwide gives Ripple a strong foundation, but the lack of clear US rules is causing a lack of entry by institutional investors. As we move towards the year 2026, the XRP will most likely stay trading between the ranges of around $1.20 and $1.80.
Source: DeepSeek
The XRP price will most likely move towards the range of around $2.50 to $3.00 by the end of the year, given the prospect of a future DeFi roadmap for institutions, including confidential transactions and lending protocols, although the move will be more gradual.
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Solana Price Analysis: Technicals and Outlook
The 4-hour chart shows the Solana price at $88.75, consolidating near key levels after bouncing from $72. Resistance sits at $94, with a break above potentially triggering a rally.
RSI readings show fast RSI at 63.54 with medium and slow at 57.93 and 55.10, indicating building momentum. Volume at 628,940 SOL remains well below predicted 2.81 million.
Source: CoinAnk
If the CLARITY Act is not passed, Solana might lose some of its institutional push. Approval for ETFs might take their time, and professional money might be benched. Solana is also preparing for the upcoming Alpenglow upgrade, targeting 100 to 150ms finality. This is a big technical improvement, on par with what traditional exchanges can do.
Source: DeepSeek
Without regulatory clarity, the Solana price would likely trade between $80 and $120 in the near term. However, Alpenglow and Firedancer still position Solana as serious infrastructure. If global adoption accelerates, a year-end target of $150 to $200 remains possible, though explosive upside awaits clearer U.S. rules.
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