This top 10 Token is about to become the "golden ticket" of the altcoin season.

TRON (TRX) is drawing strong attention after reaching a critically important resistance zone around 0.349– 0.352 USD — an area that has witnessed over 5.4 billion USD worth of TRX traded just in the month of June. This move not only makes the market more dynamic but also pushes TRX into a tug-of-war state between buying pressure expecting to break through and selling pressure taking profit after an increase of more than 26% in the past 3 months.

Profit-taking pressure rises: RSI warns of overbought

With the 7-day RSI reaching 75.21 — the "overbought" zone according to technical analysis standards — it is not surprising that many investors begin to act according to the principle of "take profit". The activity of taking profit clearly emerged right after the price approached the 0.35 USD threshold, creating a wave of short-term adjustment.

The RSI index of TRX on the weekly chart | Source: TradingViewAdditionally, liquidity data from August 9 shows a net outflow of 2.95 million USD, reflecting a temporary shift in investor sentiment. This further reinforces the view that the market is entering a "cooling" phase after a hot rally.

Threshold $0.33: Strategic frontline of the bulls

Technically, the $0.33 level — corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level — is currently serving as the most important support zone in the short term. If this line of defense is breached, selling pressure could push TRX down to the $0.327 mark, which is a deeper support level according to the 38.2% Fibonacci.

On the contrary, if TRX successfully recovers and closes above the $0.34 threshold, the market could quickly regain upward momentum and once again challenge the resistance zone of $0.349–$0.352. This would be a potential breakout point to open up a new bullish cycle, especially if the altcoin market is recovering broadly.

TRON - The "King of stablecoins" is quietly rising to prominence.

In addition to short-term technical factors, TRON continues to assert its position as one of the most dynamic and practical blockchain networks in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. In July 2025, the TRON network processed stablecoin volumes of up to 600 billion USD, with USDT accounting for the majority.

More importantly: TRON currently holds 50% of the global USDT supply – a figure that not only reflects its level of trust but also serves as a "strategic weapon" that helps TRON solidify its position in cross-border payments, remittances, and business transactions.

This dominance brings two strategic benefits:

As financial institutions in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East seek alternatives to SWIFT, TRON has emerged as an efficient "payment rail" ready for large-scale operations.

From Nasdaq to Tokenomics: TRON is "playing in the big league"

The listing of TRON Inc. on the Nasdaq is a strategic move, opening the door to access traditional capital. In addition, the leveraged ETF T-Rex 2X could be the "bridge" for institutional investors to easily access TRX without the need to manage a cryptocurrency wallet themselves.

As of August 2025, over 40 billion TRX have been burned, equivalent to 4.2% of the total supply. After Proposal 102 – which halves the block reward – the annual inflation rate of TRX has been pushed down to only 1.29%, even lower than many traditional fiat currencies.

This is when the law of supply and demand speaks: as supply gradually decreases while the actual demand for (gas fee) increases, the intrinsic value of TRX has a basis to rise sharply in the long term.

However, there is not without resistance:

Technical Analysis

In the short term, TRX is entering a consolidation phase after a strong growth streak, with key technical levels serving as guidance for the upcoming price action:

Currently, the overall technical structure of TRX remains positive, as trading volume remains stable, and there are no signs of negative divergence on momentum indicators such as MACD or RSI on the long-term timeframe. This indicates that buying pressure is still present and the market has not entered an overheating state.

Notably, if Bitcoin continues to adjust and capital starts to shift towards altcoins – a common scenario in the early stages of altcoin season – then TRON could become one of the first "triggers," thanks to the institutional capital that has quietly flowed in early and its strategic position in the global stablecoin ecosystem.

TRX Price Chart | Source: TradingView## TRX Price Forecast for 2026

Based on machine learning models and multivariate data analysis, Perplexity AI has presented three potential price scenarios for TRON (TRX) in 2026. This model considers factors such as: adoption rate, stablecoin trading volume, macroeconomic environment, and the likelihood of approving financial products like ETFs.

Bullish scenario: $0.85 – $1.1

In the event that TRON achieves a series of groundbreaking strategic milestones, the TRX coin could very well enter a period of explosive growth. Specifically, the conditions that could create strong momentum for the price include:

Expected results: If all the above factors converge, TRX could surge to a price zone of $0.85 – $1.1, equivalent to a breakthrough growth compared to the current level. This will be an important milestone, allowing TRON to escape the low valuation zone and enter the group of digital assets with real influence on a global scale.

Base scenario: $0.55 – $0.65

This is a neutral scenario where TRON continues to maintain a stable growth momentum but lacks strong breakout factors. In this environment, the network still develops positively, but the speed and scale of expansion are not sufficient to create a sudden price surge.

The characteristic factors of this scenario include:

Expected results: In this scenario, TRX may fluctuate in the price zone of $0.55 – $0.65, reflecting a cautious but sustainable growth, consistent with the long-term accumulation strategy and stable orientation of the TRON ecosystem.

Discount scenario: $0.25 – $0.32

In the event that the market environment deteriorates, TRON may face numerous systemic risks, directly affecting its network position, growth potential, and stable cash flow. Potential negative factors may include:

Expected results: In the context of negative factors occurring simultaneously, the price of TRX may drop to the zone $0.25 – $0.32, reflecting significant risks in maintaining the position as the leading stablecoin payment infrastructure, as well as the ability to draw attention from capital flows and developers in the ecosystem.

TRON is no longer a "cheap altcoin"

TRON (TRX) is gradually stepping out from the shadow of a low-cost altcoin to assert itself as an essential blockchain platform in the global payment ecosystem. From the role of an intermediary for cross-border money transfers to holding a massive amount of stablecoins, TRON is slowly proving its real value in the crypto world.

However, to truly conquer the $1 mark by 2026, TRX needs to converge enough strategic factors as follows:

Currently, all eyes are on the $0.33 mark – the zone that will determine whether TRON will break out again or enter a deeper correction before recovering.

It can be said that TRON is in a strategic accumulation phase - where technical, fundamental, and macro factors are gradually converging. If the market continues to stabilize, and TRON stays on track with the outlined roadmap, then the price point of $1 is no longer a distant dream, but can very well become a feasible milestone in the next growth cycle.

Lilly