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Don't remind me again today

Think the Ukraine-Russia conflict wraps up this year? Polymarket traders aren't buying it—literally pricing peace at just 15%.



Wild part? Ukrainian and U.S. officials already hammered out a 19-point framework. Yet the odds barely budge.

Moscow's clearly dragging its feet here, unwilling to give ground at the negotiating table. Classic standoff dynamics playing out in real-time prediction markets.
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SmartContractPhobiavip
· 12-01 02:08
15%? This price is outrageous, Moscow doesn't want to move at all, no matter how fancy the framework is, it doesn't help.
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SquidTeachervip
· 11-30 14:06
15% chance of peace? That's insane, it feels like Moscow isn't even considering negotiations.
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StakoorNeverSleepsvip
· 11-28 14:55
15%? This number is really too optimistic, Russia has no intention of negotiating at all.
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StakeOrRegretvip
· 11-28 14:55
Moscow is just putting on a show, even a 15% probability is overestimated... No matter how beautiful the framework is, it requires someone to genuinely want peace.
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ProbablyNothingvip
· 11-28 14:38
15%? I damn well said it long ago, Moscow is just stalling, the negotiation framework is all set but still useless.
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RektDetectivevip
· 11-28 14:35
15% this number... hey, something's not right, are the traders so pessimistic? Over in Russia, things are definitely stuck, no matter how perfect the framework is, it all goes to waste; the key still depends on who backs down first.
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MerkleDreamervip
· 11-28 14:34
15% is really ridiculous, Moscow is just dragging its feet, it's all talk on paper.
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