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WHY I EXPECT Q1 2026 TO TURN BULLISH 🚨
- Q4 2025 is shaping up to be one of the weakest year-end periods in recent memory heavy ETF outflows, liquidity stress and broad risk-off positioning
- The December rate cuts are essentially priced in
- QT is approaching its endpoint.
- QE is expected to restart in early 2026. New liquidity entering the system typically leads capital back into high-beta sectors first crypto being the most sensitive to monetary expansion.
- Positioning data shows funds sitting on elevated cash levels while derivatives positioning remains defensive. When macro shifts align with under-positioned markets, the unwind is usually aggressive.
- The setup isn’t about blind optimism it’s about recognizing when macro, liquidity, and positioning all converge
Q1 2026 has that alignment.