GasWrangler

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Has the four-year cycle of Bitcoin really become invalid? Market battles amid the ETF wave
【Crypto World】Recently, discussions about Bitcoin cycles have become increasingly intense, with the focus on whether the "Four-Year Cycle Theory" we've used for many years still holds.
On one side are optimistic voices: institutions are continuously entering the market through ETFs, US regulatory attitudes are noticeably relaxing, and global liquidity is still increasing. Under this new combination of strategies, some analysts believe that the upward trend after the halving can last until 2026, potentially extending or breaking the cycle.
On the other side are those who stick to the original logic, arguing that the market has already entered a bear market and that traditional cycles are still valid. Both sides have their own data to support their claims, and no one is convinced by the other.
The emergence of ETFs has indeed changed the game—massive institutional funds are pouring in, and the market dynamics dominated by retail investors have shifted. But does this mean the cycle is completely invalid, or just extended? The answer may depend on future market performance. In any case, understanding the logic behind these debates is crucial for developing your own
BTC0,88%
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consensus_failurevip:
Is the cycle invalid or extended? Ultimately, it's all about the data. Whoever has stronger arguments, just listen to them.

Institutional participation has indeed changed, and the retail trading strategies might really be outdated.

Whether it can last until 2026, I’ll just wait and see the follow-up. Anyway, I’m still in.

The four-year cycle might have been a false demand from the start; people just want to find a reason for the ups and downs.

This wave of ETF truly changed the landscape, but saying it completely overturned everything might be too absolute.

Regulatory relaxation + institutional entry—if this combo punch is really so powerful, why are some still calling for a bear market?

I think the cycle itself hasn't failed; it’s just become more complex with too many variables.

Different factions can justify their data, which is ridiculous. In the end, it still comes down to what the order book says.
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Perpetual Contracts Signal a Key Trend in 2026? Institutions Are Optimistic About New Liquidity in the Perps Market
Perpetual contracts may become an important window to assess the crypto market sentiment in 2026, as their real-time data can reflect the true market dynamics. Well-known investment institutions have already begun to enter this field, and it is expected to attract significant liquidity in the future. The industry's self-innovation is also promoting its development.
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AirdropHunterWangvip:
Perps is really the new blue ocean, institutions have already entered, and liquidity is about to explode.
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Bitcoin surged and then pulled back to 87,000, signaling weak rebound momentum
Bitcoin surged to $90,000 yesterday before pulling back to $87,000, and market sentiment is gradually shifting from panic to rationality. The rebound is mainly the result of short covering, with a lack of new capital inflows. Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently in consolidation phases, with insufficient momentum, and the market is cautious. A stronger fundamental support is needed to achieve a breakout.
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BTC0,88%
ETH1,98%
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blockBoyvip:
Short covering rebound, this is what the leeks see as a "reversal"… laugh out loud

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Again consolidation, again waiting and watching, when will there be some movement

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87,000 still struggling, does anyone really want to buy in?

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Lack of momentum just means waiting for big funds to enter, but whether they come or not is another story

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This rebound is ridiculous, surged to 90,000 then turned and ran, a classic cut-loss trap

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ETH’s stance... really boring

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Fundamental support? Ha, just waiting to see

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Consolidation, consolidation, always consolidating, who the hell will break through first
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GameFi 2025 falls into a funding winter, but Web2.5 games are quietly breaking through
In 2025, the GameFi market experienced a significant decline in funding, but the Web2.5 gaming model emerged. This new paradigm uses blockchain as infrastructure to enhance real revenue and gaming experience, gradually demonstrating considerable revenue potential and indicating future market changes.
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WEMIX-0,32%
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SwapWhisperervip:
Ha, finally someone dares to tell the truth. Those GameFi projects that rely solely on hype concepts are doomed.

Web2.5 is the right path. I want to see how those projects that only draw pie charts will die.

Well said, token mechanisms are just a breeding ground for scams.

Funding has dropped by 55%? Serves them right. Bad money drives out good money. Now it's time for those who truly focus on product to make money.

This is exactly what I've been saying: prioritizing experience over tokenomics is the future.

Teams like Wemade have long been heading in the right direction, much more reliable than those new rookies.

By the way, how are the new projects from Fumb and Mythical lately? Has anyone used them?

Projects transitioning to Web2.5 can survive, so don't expect too much.
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SOL, ZEC, LINK Long Trap? January Liquidation Risk Overview
【Crypto World】The market is quite interesting right now. Data from the end of December shows that a group of traders have accumulated significant long leverage on coins like Solana, Zcash, and Chainlink, but the trouble is—after entering January, these positions are all at risk of being liquidated.
The situation with SOL is the most tense. Last week, ETF fund inflows plummeted by 93%, leaving only $13.14 million invested, indicating what? Market enthusiasm for SOL is clearly waning. The already fragile long positions now resemble a sword hanging in the air.
ZEC tells a different story. It rose 70% in December, a substantial increase, but this also means profit-taking has accumulated. Most importantly, on-chain data shows that large holders are quietly reducing their positions. Under these circumstances, any adjustment could turn into a collective liquidation.
LINK faces pressure from rising exchange reserves. What does this usually indicate? A sign of sell-offs. When exchange reserves increase,
SOL0,35%
ZEC3,1%
LINK1,37%
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CounterIndicatorvip:
Haha, here we go again. This time it's SOL being harvested? The 93% plunge in ETF inflows—what does it mean? Retail investors are back as bagholders.

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ZEC up 70%—it's time to run. Big players are secretly reducing their positions, and you're still sleepwalking.

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LINK exchange reserves are rising... alright, this is another good opportunity for contrarian trading.

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It's always the same routine—bull trap after bull trap. And what’s the result? Making money in the opposite direction, everyone.

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January liquidation risk? I just want to know who is shorting these coins. I’m with whoever is.

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SOL really can't be pushed up anymore. It feels like the second half of the year will be a big trap.

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Leverage is the original sin. Don’t blame the market.
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Futures platform upgrade: Eight charts on the same screen + 18 types of K-line, Toobit aims to boost derivatives traders
Toobit recently upgraded its futures trading platform, introducing TradingView charts that support eight charts simultaneously and 18 candlestick types. This enhancement aims to cater to professional traders who seek both speed and in-depth analysis, reflecting the growing demand for advanced trading tools in the derivatives market.
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AirdropLickervip:
8 charts on the same screen? Now you can attend meetings while secretly checking the candlesticks haha
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South Korean financial giant Mirae Asset to acquire Korbit? $97 million acquisition reveals traditional finance's Web3 ambitions
【Blockchain Rhythm】A major player in Korea's traditional finance sector, Mirae Asset, has recently made a big move. According to media reports, this Seoul-based financial group is in talks to acquire a stake in the domestic crypto trading platform Korbit, aiming to secure approximately 92% of the shares. The transaction price is highly anticipated—rumors suggest it could be as high as 140 billion Korean won, approaching nearly 100 million RMB.
This matter seems simple on the surface, but it actually reflects a larger trend. Mirae Asset has been operating in asset management, wealth management, investment banking, and insurance for many years, holding a significant position in the traditional financial circle. If this acquisition is finalized, it will mark their official entry into the crypto world—this is their first time.
Group founder Park Hyeon-joon has been emphasizing the same theme over the past two years: combining opportunities in traditional assets and digital assets. In other words, major financial institutions are also pondering how to carve out a piece of this cake. Industry perspective
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SnapshotStrikervip:
Traditional financial giants finally can't hold back anymore and have directly started to buy the dip. This move is a bit "delayed realization," but it's quite aggressive.

But to put it nicely, it's "seizing opportunities," honestly, it's just fear of missing out on the next big trend. I'm tired of this routine.

Is the Korean financial circle also so competitive that they have to rely on crypto to survive? Interesting.

After Korbit was acquired, can it still maintain independence? The DNA of traditional finance might turn it into something unrecognizable.

The price of over 900 million is indeed not cheap, but it's more worthwhile than regret.

This incident confirms one thing — no one can truly ignore Web3.

This is the so-called "embracing change." It sounds politically correct, but in reality, it's still a game driven by greed.
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SOL 4-hour chart breaks out strongly, bulls gain momentum — latest technical analysis and trading entry points
SOL has performed strongly recently, with the price breaking through highs accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating bullish strength. Technical indicators such as MACD are positive, with a short-term bullish trend. The key support level is at 120.0, and resistance is at 126.0. It is recommended to consider buying at 122.15 and 119.55, and to reduce positions at 126.0 or 130.39.
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DeFiChefvip:
This round of SOL is indeed promising. I bought in at 122.15, now let's see if it can hold up to 126.
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Hong Kong implements new regulations in 2026: Cryptocurrency asset regulation standards officially implemented
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority will fully implement new banking capital regulations for crypto assets based on Basel standards starting from January 1, 2026. This will cover various crypto assets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins. Financial institutions will need to adjust their risk management and capital strategies to comply with the new regulations.
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BTC0,88%
ETH1,98%
RWA0,5%
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AirdropHuntressvip:
After research and analysis, the impact of this new regulation on Hong Kong financial institutions in 2026 is indeed significant. Stablecoins and RWA have also been included, indicating that regulators are serious this time, not just paying lip service.
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Whale 1.81 million USDC supports HyperLiquid, bullish on LIT with 3x leverage
A whale address invested 1.81 million USDC on the HyperLiquid platform and used 3x leverage to go long on LIT, opening a long position of 500,000 tokens, demonstrating their market outlook and investment confidence. Such large transactions are worth paying attention to.
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USDC0,03%
LIT-42,22%
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SudoRm-RfWallet/vip:
Whales' move is a bit aggressive, using 3x leverage to directly buy 500,000 LIT tokens. Are they genuinely optimistic or just gambling?
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Can Bitcoin become a strong counterbalance to the US dollar? Hear what the CEOs of leading exchanges have to say.
In recent years, Bitcoin has been regarded as an asset to counter the devaluation of the US dollar, and its anti-inflation characteristics have attracted more institutional investors. As global economic pressures increase, Bitcoin is gradually recognized as an important hedging tool.
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SeeYouInFourYearsvip:
This CEO is right, everyone can see the death spiral of inflation

Holding equals devaluation, still need to stash some BTC in the vault

Institutions have already been quietly accumulating, don't wait too long to wake up

From speculative asset to hedging tool, this is a cognitive upgrade, brother

The Fed printing money, I hoard coins, simple and effective

The promised anti-inflation feature, it really has to be tested during a major inflation to count

Will there be another round of hype when institutions enter in 2024? I'm a bit worried that the top is already in

Bitcoin as a counterbalance to the dollar? First, the dollar has to be truly overthrown

The fixed total supply is a solid foundation, definitely more reliable than fiat currency

It all sounds right, but when it comes to critical moments, will we get cut again? Who dares to guarantee?
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These coins are on fire this week! Canton leads the surge with a 20% increase, and several varieties are building momentum at key levels.
【Crypto World】Recently, the overall crypto market has been fluctuating within the same range, but some assets have quietly broken out with independent trends.
Canon (CC) performed the most eye-catching this week, surging by 20%, breaking the resistance level of $0.117. The next key point is whether it can hold above $0.12. Zcash (ZEC) is not to be outdone, with a 17% increase, now showing signs of accumulation around $300, as if brewing something. DASH ranks third with a 16% rise, and the current focus is whether it can stay above the $50 level.
There’s also something more outrageous — Islamic Coin (ISLM) skyrocketed by 143%, a truly eye-catching move.
On the downside, Pippin (PIPPIN) didn’t fare as well, retreating amid sharp volatility.
CC13,65%
ZEC3,1%
DASH0,11%
ISLM-7,03%
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SerNgmivip:
CC this week is indeed fierce, but whether 0.12 can hold steady is the key, don't drop again

Islamic Coin up 143%, how many people bought in at the high point, hilarious

ZEC is gathering strength around 300, it feels like it will either surge or plunge, no middle ground

Is it really that hard for DASH to stay above 50? It always feels like it's just a little short

What about PIPPIN? Once again, it's been cut off

Canon broke support, but I still feel a bit uneasy, can this rebound last?

ZEC, CC, and DASH moving together, it feels like a chess game—whoever runs faster wins

This 143% move, how many people chased high and got trapped? Too crazy

This time is different, a genuine coin has emerged on its own, previously it was all follow the trend

ISLM soared, but the faster the rise, the more painful it is—whether it's a rebound or a reversal, who knows
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El Salvador has increased its holdings by 1,511 BTC this year, continuing to expand its digital asset portfolio
【比推】萨尔瓦多这波操作真的不含糊。从今年1月1号到现在,这个中美洲国家已经默默增持了1511枚BTC。数据来自业界知名媒体的最新统计。要知道,萨尔瓦多早在2021年就开始布局比特币,当时还成为了全球首个将BTC作为法定货币的国家。现在继续加仓,说明他们对这个数字资产长期看好的态度没变。这举动也反映出机构级别的参与者在当前市场环境下的真实态度——稳定且持续地积累。
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RugpullSurvivorvip:
I told you, even the major national-level investors are quietly accumulating. Why are we retail investors panicking?
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Korean traditional financial giants compete to expand: Future asset acquisition of the fourth-largest exchange Korbit, industry consolidation accelerates
Future Asset Group is planning to acquire Korea's fourth-largest cryptocurrency exchange, Korbit, with an estimated transaction valuation of 100 billion to 140 billion KRW. The acquisition is being promoted by Mirae Asset Consulting, as Korbit possesses a complete operational license and compliance system, attracting the attention of traditional financial institutions. Although Korbit's market influence is limited, it reflects the ongoing investment boom of Korea's financial and tech giants in the crypto asset sector.
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HappyToBeDumpedvip:
Licensing and compliance systems are the real hard currency. No wonder traditional finance has taken notice. Is this wave of integration about to begin?
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