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Something's off in the options market right now.降息概率已经飙到80%,但IWM这类利率敏感型ETF的看跌期权需求却异常火爆——这到底传递什么信号?
Digging into options flow reveals interesting positioning ahead of major policy moves. Smart money seems hedged despite dovish expectations. Rate cuts usually boost small caps, yet protective puts are piling up on Russell 2000 exposure.
This divergence between rate cut pricing and defensive positioning could mean traders are pricing in execution risk or worried about lag effects. Worth monitoring how this plays out when central banks actually move.