US Core PCE Price Index YoY for September: Bullish Signal for the Dollar

On September 26, 2025, the US Department of Commerce released the year-over-year Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for September. The reported value was 2.9%, with no consensus forecast available; the previous value was also 2.9%.Definition: PCE stands for "Personal Consumption Expenditures." The Core PCE Price Index is a key measure of consumer inflation in the United States, published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis under the Department of Commerce, and adopted by the Federal Reserve as its primary inflation gauge. The Fed has set a long-term inflation target of a 2% annual increase in the Core PCE. Readings above this threshold may prompt the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy, which would likely have a positive impact on the US dollar.This data has an importance rating of 4. Statistical methods include publication of both monthly and annual rates. The release frequency is monthly, with the next publication scheduled for November 26, 2025.

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