The probability of "Elon Musk creating a new political party this year" on Kalshi is currently reported at 40%.

BlockBeats news, on July 2nd, according to relevant page information, the probability of "Musk creating a new political party this year" on Kalshi is currently reported at 40%. In addition, the probability of Musk creating a new political party by the end of July on Polymarket is 33%, and the probability of creating a new political party this year is 43%. Yesterday, Musk stated that if the beautiful big bill passes, a new political party in the United States will be established the next day.

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