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Based on the comprehensive technical patterns, on-chain data, and analyst opinions, a relatively balanced conclusion can be drawn:
1 Short-term trend is bullish: Multiple signals suggest that it is highly probable for ETH to recover to 4500 USD in October. The current rebound is supported by its inherent technical and on-chain logic, and is not just a flash in the pan.
2 Key positions are clear: $3550 is the recent bullish-bearish watershed, while $4500 is the primary target that bulls need to conquer. Traders should closely monitor the volume changes at these two key price levels.
3 Healthy correction rather than bear market end: From a larger cyclical perspective, this pullback should be defined as a healthy valuation repair, which has taken the market out of the "frenzy" state of August and laid the foundation for a more stable and longer-lasting rise.