Last year, when the bear market was almost bottoming out, the market was freezing cold. But one of my buddies thought the opportunity was coming and invested everything he had into a new project.

The project team was incredibly active—announcements every few days, a lively community, and a barrage of positive news flooding the chat. Seeing this momentum, he thought it was a sure thing, and without hesitation, he went all in.

The first three days were indeed exciting, with the coin price soaring. But the happiness was short-lived; over the next five days, the price was cut in half, and he's still holding his position now.

After this experience, he finally understood: in this circle, you can never earn more than what you understand.

Those who manage to survive and profit here are not relying on luck but on clearly seeing who is pushing the market behind the scenes and who is pouring real money into it.

To judge whether a coin is worth touching, essentially, it comes down to two things: whether there is a main force behind it and whether there is hype.

**Main force is the key to the market.** The rise and fall of a coin ultimately depend on capital. True market manipulators won't take risks for small amounts; they seek to double or even multiply their investment. If a coin's trading volume suddenly spikes during sideways movement, and there are repeated accumulation at the bottom, it's likely that big players are quietly building positions. When they start to act, the market naturally follows. The market isn't short of concepts; what it lacks are serious investors willing to pour real money in.

**Hype is the key to survival.** The crypto world is similar to the entertainment industry—without discussion, it cools off. No matter how advanced the technology or how beautiful the whitepaper, if no one talks about it, it will eventually zero out. Conversely, if a project has daily new topics, active communities, and influencers constantly creating buzz, it indicates that there is capital supporting it. How long the hype lasts determines how long the coin's price can hold up.

Coins without main force or hype? The only outcome is one word: dead.

Coins controlled by big players and with active communities? Even if there are fluctuations along the way, they won't collapse easily—they are aiming to harvest the entire cycle.

The secrets of the crypto world are never in the candlestick charts but in the behind-the-scenes operational logic. By understanding who is telling stories and who is pouring real money into projects, you can position yourself early and avoid 90% of the detours.