# Bitcoin Could 3x by 2030—Here's Why



BTC lately got punched down 26% from October's peak, but long-term story hasn't changed. Here's the math:

**The Scarcity Thesis**
21M BTC cap is locked in concrete. Meanwhile, M2 money supply from top 4 central banks exploded 145% in 15 years. More fiat = same Bitcoin supply = price goes up. Simple physics.

**Past vs Future Returns**
Since Nov 2020, BTC did 416% (+39% CAGR). Nutty gains. But as Bitcoin matures, expect lower multiples forward. Tripling to ~$300K by 2030? That's conservative compared to historical runs, totally doable.

**The Reality Check**
Don't expect 400%+ anymore. We're not in the Wild West phase. But in a world drowning in debt and money printing, a hard-capped asset still has major tailwinds.

Bottom line: If global liquidity keeps expanding (and it will), Bitcoin's scarcity becomes the ultimate hedge. Not financial advice, just how supply-demand works.
BTC-1.05%
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