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Peace be upon you and God's mercy and blessings..
Hearing a song in the month of Rajab is more severe than hearing it on regular days, and reciting a verse in the month of Rajab is greater than reciting it on regular days.
And peace.
From the market structure perspective, the 2880 to 2900 zone is a previous dense trading area with obvious support. Conversely, the 3050 to 3070 zone is an ironclad top that has been tested multiple times without being broken. This kind of restricted pattern limits both sides, and neither can do much to the other.
But there are underlying changes happening. The open interest on unclosed contracts is slowly accumulating, indicating that funds are quietly positioning. Meanwhile, the spot reserves on exchanges continue to flow out—this is a signal that chips are shifting from short-term traders and panic sellers to those willing to hold long-term. Experienced traders recognize this pattern immediately; it’s a classic accumulation rhythm.
The most critical factor right now is one word: volume. Without trading volume, any upward push or downward plunge is just a false move—traps for both bulls and bears. Before a volume breakout on bullish or bearish candles appears, these fluctuations are just market noise; don’t be fooled.
**If you are fully or heavily invested**, resisting during a downtrend is not the solution. During rebounds, look for opportunities to reduce your position within the 2950 to 3050 range, and take control of your risk.
**If you are lightly or even not holding any position**, now is the time to be patient. The cash in your hands is your best chip. Don’t rush to buy the dip. Wait for one of two signals before acting: either a volume breakout above 3050, indicating a true trend reversal; or a market sentiment collapse, with panic selling near 2600—that’s the real entry point.
The sideways consolidation won’t last forever. The balance between bulls and bears will eventually be broken. In trading, I never follow the crowd’s emotions; I focus on where the funds are flowing and how the structure is changing. Knowing when to stay put and when to strike decisively—this is the key to surviving in this game.