Decided to add positions in $ASTER and $TAO at this level, betting with action on the upcoming turning point.

The Christmas holiday quickly passed, but the market didn't have the big moves expected. This silence itself is quite interesting — the bears want to dump but haven't succeeded, the bulls want to push up but are hesitant. Frankly, both sides are testing each other.

Looking back at my initial prediction: BTC should surge to 70,000, BNB drop to 700 or even break below. To be cautious, I placed orders at 780, 750 (heavy position), and the 700 key level. But what happened in the end? BTC has remained above 80,000 without breaking down, BNB closely follows BTC’s rhythm, SOL is even more resilient, consolidating stubbornly around 120.

BTC defines the direction for mainstream coins, ETH determines the trend of altcoins — this is the basic logic of the market. Currently, altcoins have no more room to fall unless BTC dumps massively to push ETH below 2000, otherwise the space is limited. But surprisingly, during Christmas, such intense volatility didn't occur, which can only mean one thing: the bears are actually scared too.

What are they afraid of? Afraid that a massive dump will finally bottom out, and then the bulls will scoop up cheap chips and ramp up the prices, becoming the last bagholders. The bulls are also hesitating — worried that after they push up, the bears will dump again, turning it into a bloody battle.

Thus, the market has fallen into an interesting deadlock: no one dares to make a real move. This delicate balance needs a trigger to break it. Once the ignition point appears, the main rally combined with the altcoin season’s successive assaults will produce gains dazzling enough to blind.

My allocation is simple: 50% in ASTER, 25% in TAO, and 25% in BNB. BNB follows the main rally, while ASTER and TAO are waiting for the altcoin season wave.

As for those asking if I’m afraid of the "Four-Year Cycle Theory"? Honestly, I’ve only been in the scene for over 7 months, and I’m already tired of hearing that theory. This actually shows that the cycle theory has become invalid — when everyone knows when to run, when to buy the dip, and when to hide, the market’s rules change. The real "financial strategy" is: buy when no one is paying attention, sell when everyone is shouting.

Those who want to make money have long had their tactics written in Sun Tzu’s Art of War: "When the enemy advances, I retreat; when the enemy camps, I harass; when the enemy is tired, I strike; when the enemy withdraws, I pursue" — this 100% winning strategy applies just as well to trading.