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Having navigated the crypto market for 8 years, starting from just 50,000 yuan to the current scale, I want to share some "counterintuitive" insights with everyone.
In these 8 years, I haven't relied on any secret weapons, insider information, or luck to turn things around. The only thing I did right was: using the simplest methods to survive longer than others.
People often ask why some traders can survive long-term in the market, while others disappear after a single cycle. The answer is actually simple—seeing through the market rhythm and controlling your desires.
Below are 6 "living rules" I have repeatedly verified over more than 2920 days. They are not complicated, but they are truly effective.
**Rapid Rise, Slow Fall, Usually Still Continue**
The market suddenly surges upward, then slowly declines. This is usually not a top signal but a sign of capital rotation and market manipulation by the big players.
**Fast Drop, Slow Rise, Often Hidden Traps**
After a sharp decline, the price gradually climbs, seeming to offer a "bargain" opportunity. But this is often the tail end of distribution. Don't be fooled by the psychology of "it's already fallen so much."
**High Volume at High Levels Is Safer; No Volume Is Dangerous**
If the price reaches a high level and trading volume remains, it indicates active participation. The truly scary situation is when the price is high but suddenly becomes eerily quiet—that's often a sign of a big plunge coming.
**High Volume at Bottom Does Not Equal Reversal**
The true bottom is formed through grinding. It takes several days or even weeks of stable high volume to confirm serious accumulation by big players. A single large candlestick is just a "false signal."
**Trading Volume Speaks More Than Price**
Many people focus on candlestick charts, but they are often seeing illusions. The real valuable information is trading volume—it reflects the true strength of bulls and bears in the market and is a genuine reflection of participant sentiment.
**Being Able to Hold Cash Is the True Winner**
Holding cash isn't cowardice; it's strategy. Not chasing the rise is rational, and resisting panic is discipline. When you can stay "detached" in the face of market fluctuations, trading truly becomes a tool for making money.
I've walked this path and stepped on all the pits. Whether you want to avoid some detours depends on your own choices.