I never treat trading as a guessing game.

Watching candlestick movements, studying sentiment, speculating on the actions of big players—these are essentially gambling, betting on whether your judgment can outperform the market. And the result? Most people lose money this way.

What I care about is actually very simple: over a sufficiently long time horizon, am I in a position with a higher probability of success.

In the past few years, I rarely expressed market opinions. My account grew from 3,000 USD all the way up, and I’ve never experienced a liquidation. This is not because I am particularly smart, but because I never saw myself as a gambler from the start—I see myself as a participant who aims to survive longer in the market.

**The first thing: Design your exit strategy first**

Before placing each order, the stop-loss and take-profit points are already locked in. No improvising on the spot, no emotion-driven rescue operations. Once the account profit reaches 10% of the initial capital, I immediately withdraw half of the profit and transfer it outside the exchange.

What about the remaining position? It’s just chips given by the market. If prices continue to rise, you benefit from compound gains; if there’s a pullback, at most you eat into the profit, while the principal remains untouched.

Many people’s misconception is treating all the money in the account as trading capital. The correct approach is to keep withdrawing profits from the market, ensuring each gain is truly realized and secured.

**The second thing: Don’t bet on rise or fall, only bet on structure**

I rarely open just one position. A common approach is to build two sets of logic on the same asset: one follows the trend based on structural direction, and the other bets against extreme sentiment for a rebound.

How to allocate timeframes? The daily chart decides whether I participate in this trend, the 4-hour chart is used to find structural positions, and the 15-minute chart is for precise entries.

The combined risk of these two positions is controlled within 1.5% of the account, but the target return should be at least 5 times the risk or more. When the market oscillates within a range, while others are being stopped out back and forth, I use structural analysis to continuously harvest those recurring profits.

**The third thing: Stop-loss is not a failure, it’s an entry ticket to keep playing**

Honestly, my win rate isn’t high, staying below 40% in the long run. But my risk-reward ratio remains stable above 4:1.

When the market is acting weird, quickly admit mistakes and exit; when the trend is right, let the profits run. Stop-loss is never a cost, but a ticket to stay in the market. As long as you’re not completely wiped out, there will be new opportunities sooner or later. The market is vast, and trends keep recurring.

**Three unshakable disciplines**

Divide your account into 10 parts, use at most 1 part per position, and never hold more than 3 positions simultaneously—this way, even in the worst case, you won’t be wiped out.

After two consecutive losses, stop trading, leave the screen, and take a moment to cool down—that’s a forced rest for yourself.

When the account doubles, take a portion and convert it into low-risk assets to lock in gains—don’t think about reinvesting everything to chase bigger returns.

These rules may sound plain and even a bit silly in some places. But it’s this “silliness” that allows me to survive in any market rhythm.

One last message for you: the market is never afraid of your mistakes; it fears most that you push your chips too heavily at once. Stay on the side of probability, do what needs to be done, and sooner or later, the exchange will become your ATM.