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Bitcoin has recently maintained a volatile pattern, which is actually quite common—shorting at high levels, going long at low levels, and strictly executing stop-losses to avoid significant losses.
The longer the consolidation lasts, the more intense the subsequent trending move tends to be. The problem is that the overall trend has already established a bear market structure, but there's a detail that cannot be ignored: after a monthly death cross, a technical rebound usually occurs. Will history repeat itself? Just look at how it moved from January to February 2022—you'll see that after a monthly death cross, there was a two-month rebound before it started to weaken.
So, the current rhythm is quite clear: the trend is bearish, no problem, but in the short term, you should adopt a sideways mindset and not rush to short. The real opportunity comes after the rebound—that's when the better shorting points appear. The same logic applies to Ethereum. Be patient and wait for clearer signals before taking action.