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Market Status: Are the Bulls Dominant?
Currently, the market is in the "short-term oversold rebound followed by bulls attempting to regain dominance" phase.
1. Support Confirmation: The 4-hour and 1-hour charts show that ETH has formed a clear double bottom or support stabilization in the 2886-2900 range.
2. Indicator Resonance:
• 1-hour/4-hour charts: Price has successfully broken through the middle band (BOLL) of the Bollinger Bands, MACD has completed a golden cross below the 0 line and started to expand, a typical rebound initiation signal.
• Daily chart: Price has retested the daily middle band (around 2939) and closed higher, indicating that the overall upward trend logic remains intact.
3. Conclusion: Bulls are favored in the short term. As long as the price stays above 2940 (4h middle band), upward momentum will continue.
II. Profit-taking Target Suggestions
My cost basis is at 2900, and the current floating profit is very comfortable. I will take profits in stages:
• First target (TP1): 3000 - 3010
• Psychological level and near previous high on 15-minute/1-hour charts. Upon reaching this, reduce position by 30%-50% and move stop-loss to the entry price (break-even).
• Second target (TP2): 3060 - 3080
• This is the upper band resistance level of the daily Bollinger Bands. If the market volume breaks through 3000, it is likely to test this level.
• Third target (TP3): 3200+
• A medium to long-term target, depending on whether major positive news supports a breakout above 3100.
【Strategy Sharing】 ETH retests support confirmation, has the bulls' rally horn sounded?
Trading Direction: Long
Entry Price: 2900 (position established)
Profit-taking targets: 3000 / 3070 / 3200
Stop-loss setting: 2870 (stop if it falls below the previous low)
Trade Entry Idea:
1. Technical support: ETH, after retesting the 2880-2900 support zone on the 4-hour level, shows a clear stabilization pattern, with bottom volume starting to rebound.
2. Indicator recovery: 4-hour MACD has completed a bottom golden cross, KDJ is diverging upward, and the price has effectively broken above the middle bands of the 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger Bands, signaling a shift from weak to strong.
3. Major trend analysis: The daily retest of the middle band support is effective, and the overall upward channel remains unbroken. Currently, it is in the stage of secondary rally after retesting, with an excellent risk-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risk Reminder: Approaching the 3000 level may cause volatility. It is recommended to move the stop-loss to the entry price after reaching the first target to lock in profits!
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