#数字资产市场动态 ETH Technical Brief

The four-hour candlestick chart has already shown signals. After the Bollinger Bands narrowed, the price tested the lower band and rebounded nicely. It is now stable above the middle band, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages also turning upward. Looking further up, if the price can hold above the 30-day moving average, there may be a second wave of upward movement. The MACD's fast and slow lines just experienced a golden cross below the zero line, indicating that bullish momentum is just beginning to develop and is not yet strong. The two RSI lines form a small golden cross in the normal zone, confirming a mild upward trend.

Looking at the one-hour chart is even more interesting. The price repeatedly tested previous lows without breaking below, indicating strong support below. After rebounding from the middle band, it briefly pierced the upper band, then retraced and oscillated at a high level. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are gradually opening, and the moving averages are showing a complex crossover pattern. The MACD's fast and slow lines are diverging upward above the zero line, indicating continuous accumulation of bullish momentum. Interestingly, the two RSI lines have entered overbought territory, with the fast line at 94.71 and the slow line at 96.92. Although they have pulled back somewhat, they still indicate strength.

Overall analysis: The probability of a slight upward bias during high-level consolidation is greater.

Key reference levels:
Resistance at 3040, 3081, and 3182.
Support at 2896, 2809, and 3719.

Trading strategy suggestion: If the price stays above 3060 without breaking down, consider small short positions. The 3132 level can be considered for adding to positions. If the market retraces later, gradually reduce positions; if it reaches around 3258, consider adding long positions again.