2025-12-26 07:00:51

#比特币与黄金战争 Building on the previous judgment, let's delve deeper into the recent market rhythm. The 23 billion scale options settlement is in front of us, which is the largest nominal amount in the history of crypto trading. The magnitude is quite astonishing, so I won't elaborate further. Looking back at the patterns over the past three months, about a week after settlement, the market usually gives a clear direction—September saw a sharp rise, October a direct plunge, and November a slight downward move. This massive settlement's impact on subsequent market liquidity is still quite significant.

The timing is quite interesting. About a week after the settlement, it just hits January. During that period, the news will be densely packed, with several lines tightening together. The most critical factor is the policy orientation of the new Federal Reserve—whether they will take new actions on interest rates in the new year, which directly affects capital flows for the entire year. $BTC $ETH 's rhythm mostly depends on this aspect.

BTC1.24%

ETH1.36%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

9 Likes

Reward
9
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DiamondHands

· 4h ago

230 billion this scale really can't hold up, feels like another wave of cutting leeks is coming Watch the Federal Reserve's actions after settlement; this time, the bet is really on policy History is like this, rising in September and falling in October; I wonder what January will bring this time? Just wait and see, anyway I'm already numb from losses haha BTC and ETH just depend on whether the folks at the Federal Reserve are in a good mood

View OriginalReply0

ColdWalletGuardian

· 4h ago

23 billion in settlement, this time I really can't hold on anymore, it feels like the whole market is waiting for that drumbeat. The Federal Reserve is the real key; when interest rate policies change, everything changes, and we all have to dance to that tune.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainFoodie

· 4h ago

honestly the $23B options expiration feels like a soufflé that's about to collapse — one wrong move and everything deflates. the fed's rate decision is basically the temperature control here, you know? if they dial it up, we're watching btc get flash-fried. if they hold steady... maybe we actually plate something edible for once lol

Reply0

RebaseVictim

· 4h ago

23 billion options settlement? Damn, it's really happening this time. I remember the pattern of skyrocketing in September and crashing in October. Whenever the Federal Reserve moves, everything moves. BTC is just being toyed with between stocks and bonds, staying on edge.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter007

· 4h ago

The 23 billion settlement number really can't be held back; it feels like this wave will either surge or plummet, with nothing in between. Wait, does the Federal Reserve's move turn everything around? That logic seems a bit far-fetched. I'm already tired of the January news bombardment; let's wait until the settlement is over before discussing it. Can we really trust the three-month pattern? If it predicted a crash in October, it did crash, and I don't dare to go all-in. Such precise timing—could it be another tactic where big players have already laid their traps in advance?

View OriginalReply0