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Morgan Stanley strategists have a new perspective! They point out that the U.S. economy may experience a phenomenon of "jobless productivity boom," which not only helps suppress inflation but also creates conditions for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further. $BNB $XRP $SOL
Data shows that in Q2, all non-farm business workers in the U.S. had a year-over-year increase of 3.3% in hourly output, a significant improvement from the 1.8% YoY decline in the previous quarter. Interestingly, investors' expectations for the Fed's rate cuts next year are more aggressive than official forecasts. Federal Reserve officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, but investors believe there is a 72% chance of rate decreases by the end of the year.
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