2025-12-30 01:25:11

Based on the four-year cycle theory, Bitcoin is now at a crossroads between two completely different trend directions.

One view is that the cycle timing has already arrived, and the bull market has officially ended. According to this logic, Bitcoin may retrace to around 35,000, Ethereum could retreat to the 500 level, and Dogecoin might face pressure to fall to 0.05. These are typical signals of the market shifting from hot to cold.

Another perspective is more optimistic—the bullish momentum has not yet been fully unleashed. If the market continues this pace, Bitcoin could surge to a new high above 300,000, which would rewrite the entire market's imagination.

These two paths are laid out here, and the choice of direction often determines subsequent holding strategies. What do you all think—are you inclined to exit conservatively, or to hold on and remain bullish?

BTC-2.35%

ETH-2.28%

DOGE-2.55%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

6 Likes

Reward
6
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

SilentObserver

· 5h ago

Whoa, 300,000, you really dare to say that. I bet 5 bucks and end up with 35,000 to meet. --- This four-year cycle theory has been proven wrong so many times. Don't be too superstitious, everyone. --- Honestly, if you don't understand, just hodl. Anyway, going out is also a matter of luck. --- Cycle, cycle, why has it never been accurate? Storing coins and sleeping is the most comfortable. --- Instead of worrying about which path to take, ask yourself how much you can lose and still sleep well. --- 300,000 is just a daydream. I just want to hold my coins without falling below the cost price. --- After seeing so many bullish analyses with this or that, the result often leads to a third way.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainTherapist

· 5h ago

300,000? Dream on. It's faster to turn around by gambling on Dogecoin.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainArchaeologist

· 5h ago

Ha, it's that old cycle theory again. I feel like every time someone uses it as a "time bomb"... Whether it's 35,000 or 300,000, to be honest, I'm confused now. Who can really predict it?

View OriginalReply0

ChainChef

· 5h ago

yo the recipe's literally half-baked rn... 35k dip vs 300k moonshot, that's like choosing between burnt toast and michelin stars lmao. honestly the liquidity depth doesn't feel seasoned enough for either scenario yet, need to let this simmer a bit longer before plating

Reply0

OnChainSleuth

· 6h ago

300,000? Dream on haha, I still believe the probability of 35,000 is higher --- It's that cycle theory again, every time it sounds convincing but the results? --- No matter if it rises or falls, I’m not moving anymore. Wait for a clear signal before acting --- Bitcoin hitting 300,000? I’d go all in directly, but only if it breaks the previous high first --- I find this duality theory most annoying. Is reality really so black and white? --- My wallet has already made the decision for me—sell half and go to sleep --- Cycle theory needs to be combined with on-chain data to be reliable; pure price charts are too虚虚 --- Dogecoin at 0.05? It might go to zero directly by then, right? --- All this talk is just gambling. Instead of listening to these, better watch trading volume and whale movements --- 30,000🤔 My gut feeling is that Bitcoin will get stuck around 28k, repeatedly tormenting me

View OriginalReply0