#预测市场 There is interesting data on prediction markets Kalshi—Gemini's win rate on the question "Best AI by the end of 2025" has soared to 86%, with trading volume surpassing $14.08 million. Compared to the beginning of the year when Gemini had only a 30% probability, this reversal is indeed impressive.

From a yield farming perspective, projects like prediction markets are essentially betting platforms with very simple interaction methods: register, deposit, place orders, settle. But the key point is that the airdrop logic for these platforms is often tied to trading volume and user activity. With Kalshi currently so popular, it’s quite likely they will introduce community incentives or early user rewards in the future.

The main advice is to keep an eye on their official announcements, especially when they launch points systems or invitation programs—this is when the most people follow the trend, and the interaction benefits are highest. If you want to participate, it’s recommended to start with small amounts to familiarize yourself with the interface and process, and wait until the official has clear yield farming activities before increasing your investment. The advantage of prediction markets is that the entry barrier is relatively low; the downside is that funds are at risk, so risk management is more important than blindly chasing the hype.