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Prediction markets are very similar to the early days of the Meme craze
The betting difficulty is very low, and sometimes the trends are hard to understand.
Taking the prediction of Lighter @Lighter_xyz launch time as an example:
Early this morning around five o'clock, because the token appeared on Lighter
The probability of the launch on the 29th immediately surged to over 70%
It's really a mindless rush 😂
There are only a few hours left until the settlement of the 29th option
The project team is probably off work by now
Major exchanges haven't shown any movement to list the token (even if you say Lighter can list tokens by itself, but it should list a few, right?)
Bitcoin has declined again
Can they casually announce the launch under these circumstances?
If bought at that time
Over 70% profit in 8 hours
Now there's still a profit of a dozen points...
Where there's hype, there's real money...
The above is just personal opinion.