2025-12-30 02:20:33

Looking at the recent BTC trend, there are some clues from the 4-hour chart. After surging above 90,000, it quickly reversed—a classic false breakout. The long upper shadow on the high point clearly indicates the issue—selling pressure concentrated and pushed down, buyers clearly unable to hold, and the bulls appear quite weak.

Currently, the price has fallen back below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The middle band remains flat with a slight downward tilt, indicating a shift from strength to weakness. The market has re-entered a range of oscillation with a slight bearish bias, which feels a bit boring.

Looking downward, the zone around 86,300 to 86,500 is interesting—the previous low and the lower Bollinger Band coincide here, which could serve as short-term support. However, honestly, this looks more like a retest during a rebound rather than a trend reversal signal. Volume is insufficient; the previous rally seemed mainly driven by sentiment, and its sustainability is weak.

In terms of trading strategy, mainly focus on shorting rebounds. Keep an eye on the 88,000 to 88,500 range to see if the rebound can stabilize. If volume is insufficient and the position cannot be effectively defended, consider light short positions. For defense, watch above 89,200. If the price retraces to around 86,500, small positions can be used for a technical rebound, but quick in and out is essential—don't hold on for too long.

Overall, this pace is not suitable for heavy positions betting on direction. The primary task is to control risk, follow the structure and market sentiment, and wait for clearer signals before adding positions.

BTC-2.35%

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FreeMinter

· 4h ago

It's the same old breakout story, getting scared above 90,000. This move really looks theatrical. With insufficient volume, forcing it leads to this outcome. Repeated confirmation around 87 is pointless. Quick in and out is the real strategy; there's no need to hold in a deep trap. The key level at 88500 depends on the volume; otherwise, it will continue with weak oscillations. The most annoying thing about this market is the lack of direction. Instead of guessing the top or bottom, it's better to wait for signals before acting.

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ForkThisDAO

· 4h ago

If 88,000 can't hold, you have to run. This rebound is just a trap. With such poor volume, still trying to surge upward—dream on. Enter short at 86,500, betting on a pullback for confirmation. It's the same old story, just an emotional move. Wait for clear signals before going up, don't be a leek.

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LayoffMiner

· 4h ago

It's another false breakout. I'm tired of this routine. If 88500 can't be broken, keep shorting, as the volume isn't enough. Thinking of buying the dip after the drop? Don't be silly, quick in and out is the way to go. This market trend is indeed boring. Just wait for signals.

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TokenSleuth

· 4h ago

Fake breakouts are old tricks, and it's about to dump again. Still waiting for the 88K rebound to short. Insufficient volume is just false fire; I've seen through it long ago. That long wick above 90,000 made me laugh—it's a typical trap to lure in buyers. The sideways range is so boring, it's better to wait for signals to be more reliable. I'm also watching the 86,500 support level, just afraid it will be another rebound confirmation. Managing risk is the top priority; don't follow the crowd to hold heavy positions, this rhythm is too weak.

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