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#数字资产市场动态 The Federal Reserve is in a meeting, and the crypto market is trembling—this has long been a consensus. But do you really understand the tricks they are playing?
The minutes will be released tomorrow morning. This is not just a collection of numbers; it’s the invisible hand that will influence the crypto market in the coming months. On the surface, the disagreements are obvious: some advocate for maintaining high interest rates to curb inflation, while others hint at considering rate cuts to release liquidity. But the game behind the scenes is often opaque to players.
Many people misunderstand this. They think that seeing the words "rate cut" means the start of a bull market. In reality? The more cautiously the Fed discusses rate cuts, the more it indicates that the economy may be facing deeper issues. Their priority is not saving cryptocurrencies but maintaining the dollar’s purchasing power. In their eyes, the crypto world is at most a grain of sand on the global financial chessboard.
What’s most worth watching in this minutes release is not whether rates will be cut, but **how long** the rate cut will last. If the wording hints that the cycle of maintaining restrictive rates could be very long, then it’s a big deal. This means that the high-interest-rate suppression is not a temporary pain but a new normal that could last for years. By then, what you thought was a buying opportunity might just be a deeper trap.
How to operate? A few suggestions:
- Don’t rush in at the first moment of the minutes release. That’s an emotional-driven moment, not a rational one.
- The key word is **duration**. The wording about the rate maintenance cycle on paper will determine the market tone in the coming months.
- Control leverage. Before liquidity policies become clear, staying cautious is the prerequisite for survival.
The market is never brought down by the news itself, but by the chaos of people's minds triggered by the news. Every official statement is a mirror that reveals whether you are making investment decisions or just following the crowd to gamble. To survive the volatility, you first need to see yourself clearly.