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#Ripple筹划设立10亿美元XRP资金池 What's really going on with Bitcoin's recent volatility? How should we operate?
During the holiday period from Christmas to New Year's Day, most institutional traders are on vacation, and market trading volume has significantly decreased. In this environment, a single relatively small order can push the price up dramatically, only to be smashed down again. This kind of market makes it very easy for sudden surges and drops to occur — short-term volatility is not surprising.
From a technical perspective, BTC is facing clear selling pressure around the 90,500 to 91,000 price range. Yesterday's upward push was halted near this area and was forcibly pushed down. This indicates that selling pressure above is still present, making a breakout difficult. Conversely, buy orders in the bottom range of 86,000 to 87,000 are quite resilient, with multiple attempts to break below being absorbed. So, the current market is oscillating within this range.
It is worth noting that the four-hour chart's swing low points are continuously rising — each new low is higher than the previous one. This is a somewhat optimistic signal in a volatile market. It suggests that even though there is short-term upward pressure, each pullback attracts new buyers willing to buy at higher levels, reflecting increasing bullish resilience.
On a linear scale, the price has already broken through and retested the trendline support, and is currently holding above it. This is a short-term positive signal. However, on a logarithmic scale, looking at the long-term, there is a more important trendline above that has not yet been touched, and the real long-term selling pressure is still waiting there. To truly strengthen, the market must overcome this tough obstacle.
The weekly chart remains bullish, with short-term adjustments. From this perspective, buying on dips and avoiding chasing highs is a solid strategy, and it is the most rational approach at this stage.
Why is it smarter not to chase highs and to buy on dips? Simply put — in a volatile market, chasing highs is a gamble on luck. When prices repeatedly face resistance and get rejected, a quick correction can easily trap late buyers. In contrast, building positions gradually within the 86,000-87,000 support zone, setting proper stop-losses, results in a healthier risk-reward ratio. This is a more sustainable way to trade and survive longer in the market.